TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Matej Volf vs Tomas Holik 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Matej Volf
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118118––––
Tomas Holik
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatej Volf to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatej Volf above · Tomas Holik below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 57 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Matej Volf at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Matej Volf 1–0 Tomas Holik Tomas Holik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Volf beat Holik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Volf
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Volf 1580 vs Holik 1577
Volf
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volf 60% vs Holik 80%
Holik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volf 60% vs Holik 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volf -1 · Holik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volf)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolf 1.80 / Holik 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volf)+2.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179617
Volf1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 28 of 36
Holik1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 9 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVolf1wins
AwayHolik0wins
Volf leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVolfHolikV − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.028.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolfHolikBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 408 vs 65 / 14351.7%45.5%211 / 408 vs 65 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolfVolf 1.80/Holik 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Volf · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volf won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 22 · 15:30M. Volf3911116113T. Holik28851141
M. Volf10
LSep 22 · 16:30P. Zmuda2.25114811113M. Volf1.5781111872WSep 22 · 15:30M. Volf1.9111116113T. Holik1.80851141WSep 22 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.005770M. Volf1.731111113WSep 17 · 09:28P. Zmuda2.001181191M. Volf1.7313114113LSep 17 · 08:30M. Volf1.671261071P. Zmuda2.10101112113WSep 17 · 07:00M. Volf2.1071111113J. Stolfa1.67118771WSep 17 · 06:00D. Tuma1.83761551M. Volf1.83111113113LSep 15 · 03:05M. Volf1.61714891A. Hlawatschke2.20111211113WSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123LSep 15 · 24:30M. Volf2.00811119102D. Tuma1.73117611123
T. Holik10
WSep 22 · 16:00T. Holik1.67101111113M. Vedmoch2.10126931LSep 22 · 15:30M. Volf1.9111116113T. Holik1.80851141WSep 22 · 14:00T. Holik1.7311813113P. Zmuda2.008111141WSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123WSep 20 · 16:30J. Stolfa2.10511681T. Holik1.6711611113LSep 20 · 15:30T. Holik2.5081181182J. Holubec1.50113118113WSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792
Upcoming Matches
M. Volf
T. Holik
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.