TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Holik vs Michal Vedmoch 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Tomas Holik
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012116119113––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Holik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holik above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 73 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Tomas Holik at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holik 1567 vs Vedmoch 1522
Holik
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holik 60% vs Vedmoch 20%
Holik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holik 60% vs Vedmoch 20%
Holik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holik -1 · Vedmoch -3
Vedmoch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolik 1.67 / Vedmoch 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Holik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169948
Holik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Vedmoch2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 108 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolikVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime64 / 142 vs 697 / 130745.1%53.3%64 / 142 vs 697 / 1307Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolikHolik 1.67/Vedmoch 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Holik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Holik10
LSep 22 · 15:30M. Volf1.9111116113T. Holik1.80851141WSep 22 · 14:00T. Holik1.7311813113P. Zmuda2.008111141WSep 20 · 17:29D. Tuma1.8389100T. Holik1.831111123WSep 20 · 16:30J. Stolfa2.10511681T. Holik1.6711611113LSep 20 · 15:30T. Holik2.5081181182J. Holubec1.50113118113WSep 20 · 14:30D. Tuma1.83101111352T. Holik1.83129811113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Sedlak3.252690T. Holik1.331111113WSep 5 · 08:00T. Holik1.831191011223M. Sedlak1.83811125202LSep 5 · 07:30R. Pavelka2.251161111113T. Holik1.5751113792LSep 5 · 06:00T. Holik1.918750J. Svoboda1.801111113
M. Vedmoch10
LSep 22 · 14:30M. Vedmoch2.005770M. Volf1.731111113LSep 22 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.6711116113M. Vedmoch2.10791161WSep 22 · 01:00R. Krejci1.917620M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.501011841D. Tuma1.5012911113LSep 21 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.7311101191P. Zmuda2.0081213113LSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112LSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450LSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113
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