TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ales Hlawatschke vs Michal Vedmoch 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Ales Hlawatschke
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119611116––
Michal Vedmoch
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Hlawatschke above · Michal Vedmoch below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 65.4%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ales Hlawatschke 1–1 Michal Vedmoch Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hlawatschke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hlawatschke 1597 vs Vedmoch 1571
Hlawatschke
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hlawatschke 40% vs Vedmoch 20%
Hlawatschke
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hlawatschke 60% vs Vedmoch 40%
Hlawatschke
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hlawatschke -1 · Vedmoch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vedmoch form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHlawatschke 1.67 / Vedmoch 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168387
Hlawatschke1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 18 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Vedmoch2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 108 of 238
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHlawatschke1wins
AwayVedmoch1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHlawatschkeVedmochH − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match36.543.5−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHlawatschkeVedmochBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 231 vs 700 / 130950.2%53.5%116 / 231 vs 700 / 1309Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeHlawatschke 1.67/Vedmoch 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hlawatschke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 10 · 02:58A. Hlawatschke2476110M. Vedmoch351111133
WSep 10 · 01:00A. Hlawatschke494111310113M. Vedmoch52119111292
A. Hlawatschke10
WSep 22 · 03:00A. Hlawatschke1.3671111133R. Krejci3.001159111LSep 22 · 01:30D. Tuma2.201111113A. Hlawatschke1.616580WSep 22 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3611511133R. Krejci3.007114111LSep 21 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.61111110113A. Hlawatschke2.20161261WSep 18 · 03:30A. Hlawatschke1.27961116143V. Cermak3.251111814122LSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152WSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 17 · 23:30A. Hlawatschke1.441111113V. Cermak2.631690WSep 17 · 22:00A. Hlawatschke2.2011611113F. Just1.61311591WSep 15 · 03:05M. Volf1.61714891A. Hlawatschke2.20111211113
M. Vedmoch10
WSep 22 · 01:00R. Krejci1.917620M. Vedmoch1.801111113LSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.501011841D. Tuma1.5012911113LSep 21 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.7311101191P. Zmuda2.0081213113LSep 11 · 02:59M. Sobisek1.361110511133M. Vedmoch3.00512117112LSep 11 · 02:30M. Sobisek1.401311113M. Vedmoch2.7511450LSep 11 · 01:00M. Vizek1.3671112113M. Vedmoch3.001191071WSep 10 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.2581212113M. Volf1.5711101081LSep 10 · 22:00M. Vedmoch2.7551141352V. Cermak1.401161111113WSep 10 · 17:30M. Kolar2.758590M. Vedmoch1.401111113WSep 10 · 16:00M. Vedmoch1.40511712113M. Kolar2.75117111042
Upcoming Matches
A. Hlawatschke
Nothing scheduled
M. Vedmoch
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