TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Daniel Tuma vs Ales Hlawatschke 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Daniel Tuma
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115118––––
Ales Hlawatschke
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeAles Hlawatschke to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Tuma above · Ales Hlawatschke below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 52 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Ales Hlawatschke at 61.7%
52 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Tuma 9–16 Ales Hlawatschke Daniel Tuma has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hlawatschke
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Hlawatschke
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tuma 1583 vs Hlawatschke 1611
Hlawatschke
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tuma 60% vs Hlawatschke 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tuma 50% vs Hlawatschke 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tuma +2 · Hlawatschke +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hlawatschke) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tuma form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTuma 2.20 / Hlawatschke 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hlawatschke)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164754
Tuma2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 166 of 354
Down 0–1, comes back29% 55 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 97
Hlawatschke1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 18 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it60% 9 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTuma6wins
AwayHlawatschke4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTuma leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTuma83.3%5 of 6
AwayHlawatschke75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tuma6Hlawatschke4n = 10Tuma took 6 of 10
S2Tuma4Hlawatschke6n = 10Hlawatschke took 6 of 10
S3Tuma3Hlawatschke7n = 10Hlawatschke took 7 of 10
S4Tuma3Hlawatschke6n = 9Hlawatschke took 6 of 9
S5Tuma5Hlawatschke0n = 5Tuma took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTumaHlawatschkeT − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.943.9−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTumaHlawatschkeBasisWin rate · lifetime774 / 1477 vs 116 / 23052.4%50.4%774 / 1477 vs 116 / 230Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HlawatschkeTuma 2.20/Hlawatschke 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Hlawatschke · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tuma won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma5911111010173A. Hlawatschke54691212152
LSep 14 · 22:30D. Tuma4010116131A. Hlawatschke4212411153
LSep 9 · 03:00D. Tuma205960A. Hlawatschke331111113
WSep 9 · 01:00D. Tuma531111713113A. Hlawatschke4595111552
LAug 24 · 22:00D. Tuma331341061A. Hlawatschke45111112113
LAug 13 · 23:00D. Tuma349101141A. Hlawatschke4311129113
WAug 11 · 01:00D. Tuma481011511113A. Hlawatschke4712711982
WJan 29 · 24:00D. Tuma521171112113A. Hlawatschke51911131082
WJan 23 · 24:00D. Tuma3711411113A. Hlawatschke30711931
WDec 16 · 03:30D. Tuma53119118143A. Hlawatschke49611911122
D. Tuma10
WSep 22 · 24:30P. Zmuda1.80711881D. Tuma1.9111711113WSep 21 · 23:30M. Vedmoch2.501011841D. Tuma1.5012911113LSep 21 · 22:30D. Tuma1.73118551R. Krejci2.0061111113LSep 21 · 21:28D. Tuma2.001177101T. Vinter1.7391111123WSep 21 · 20:00D. Tuma1.731111153J. Stolfa2.0098130WSep 21 · 19:30T. Vinter1.8381111111D. Tuma1.8311137133WSep 21 · 18:00D. Tuma2.1011119113T. Janata1.67791191LSep 21 · 02:30D. Tuma2.105770M. Chlebecek1.671111113LSep 21 · 01:30P. Pycha1.571111113D. Tuma2.259690LSep 21 · 24:00D. Tuma2.107890M. Vizek1.671111113
A. Hlawatschke10
WSep 22 · 02:30A. Hlawatschke1.6711116113M. Vedmoch2.10791161WSep 22 · 24:00A. Hlawatschke1.3611511133R. Krejci3.007114111LSep 21 · 23:00P. Zmuda1.61111110113A. Hlawatschke2.20161261WSep 18 · 03:30A. Hlawatschke1.27961116143V. Cermak3.251111814122LSep 18 · 02:30D. Tuma2.2011111010173A. Hlawatschke1.61691212152WSep 18 · 01:00R. Krejci3.0091111532A. Hlawatschke1.36117811113WSep 17 · 23:30A. Hlawatschke1.441111113V. Cermak2.631690WSep 17 · 22:00A. Hlawatschke2.2011611113F. Just1.61311591WSep 15 · 03:05M. Volf1.61714891A. Hlawatschke2.20111211113LSep 15 · 02:00A. Hlawatschke2.2012137101M. Volf1.61141111123
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