TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adrian Walek vs Tomas Petrek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Adrian Walek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118119––––
Tomas Petrek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Petrek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdrian Walek above · Tomas Petrek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Petrek at 55.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Adrian Walek 4–5 Tomas Petrek Adrian Walek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:26What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Petrek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Walek 1589 vs Petrek 1573
Walek
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Walek 60% vs Petrek 40%
Walek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Walek 30% vs Petrek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Walek -1 · Petrek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Petrek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWalek 2.20 / Petrek 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Petrek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13178910
Walek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 80 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back35% 27 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Petrek1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWalek4wins
AwayPetrek5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderPetrek leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWalek75%3 of 4
AwayPetrek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Walek4Petrek5n = 9Petrek took 5 of 9
S2Walek4Petrek5n = 9Petrek took 5 of 9
S3Walek4Petrek5n = 9Petrek took 5 of 9
S4Walek1Petrek6n = 7Petrek took 6 of 7
S5Walek3Petrek1n = 4Walek took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricWalekPetrekW − PBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.641.0−0.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWalekPetrekBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 453 vs 116 / 23250.6%50%229 / 453 vs 116 / 232Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrekWalek 2.20/Petrek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Petrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Walek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 7 · 10:30A. Walek49111011982T. Petrek44612411113
WAug 6 · 10:30A. Walek45111112113T. Petrek348131031
LAug 6 · 09:05A. Walek35811791T. Petrek3911611113
LAug 6 · 07:00A. Walek2812790T. Petrek361411113
LApr 29 · 13:30A. Walek366611131T. Petrek4411117153
LApr 29 · 10:30A. Walek239770T. Petrek331111113
WOct 13 · 21:30A. Walek46111176113T. Petrek4047111172
WOct 13 · 18:30A. Walek48111159123T. Petrek44661111102
WSep 30 · 16:30A. Walek551311127123T. Petrek551591011102
A. Walek10
LSep 19 · 09:30A. Walek1.90111171192J. Simecek1.80913117113WSep 19 · 08:30A. Walek2.0011114113S. Byrtus1.73981141WSep 19 · 07:00A. Walek2.0061111113D. Langer1.73117981LSep 19 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8011812113A. Walek1.919111071WSep 15 · 17:00D. Machander1.859101191A. Walek1.8511124113LSep 15 · 16:30L. Martinak1.7361111113A. Walek2.00116791LSep 15 · 15:30A. Walek2.00118851F. Laburda1.7331111113LSep 15 · 14:30D. Machander1.83151267113A. Walek1.831310111162LSep 12 · 17:00D. Machander1.801411113A. Walek1.9112720LSep 12 · 16:30D. Heczko1.674111111113A. Walek2.1011134272
T. Petrek10
LSep 10 · 21:06D. Unzeitig—713911113T. Petrek—111111232WSep 10 · 20:30D. Unzeitig1.53111081162T. Petrek2.38512117113LSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.6771111113T. Petrek2.10116791WSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113LSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101LSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek1.677970J. Cabak2.101111113LAug 28 · 13:30J. Hutnik1.5061111113T. Petrek2.50116331WAug 28 · 12:30L. Martinak1.737138111T. Petrek2.00111111133
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