TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Picek vs Ondrej Kucirek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Petr Picek
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111146111311811
Ondrej Kucirek
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kucirek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Ondrej Kucirek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Kucirek at 54.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 14–37 Ondrej Kucirek Petr Picek has won 14 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:24What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Kucirek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-37 in 51
Kucirek
Correct
gap of 23 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1474 vs Kucirek 1454
Picek
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 60% vs Kucirek 40%
Picek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 80% vs Kucirek 40%
Picek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek +1 · Kucirek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kucirek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucirek form (40%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 3.50 / Kucirek 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Kucirek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13176999
Picek3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 22 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Kucirek1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 50 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek1wins
AwayKucirek9wins
Kucirek leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKucirek100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek2Kucirek8n = 10Kucirek took 8 of 10
S2Picek3Kucirek7n = 10Kucirek took 7 of 10
S3Picek2Kucirek8n = 10Kucirek took 8 of 10
S4Picek0Kucirek4n = 4Kucirek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekKucirekP − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match25.635.6−10.0per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekKucirekBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 557 vs 216 / 43350.6%49.9%282 / 557 vs 216 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucirekPicek 3.50/Kucirek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Kucirek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kucirek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 02:00P. Picek401611581O. Kucirek4818811113
LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek198740O. Kucirek331111113
LAug 23 · 02:00P. Picek28511841O. Kucirek3811511113
LJul 24 · 03:28P. Picek249960O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 23 · 22:30P. Picek146620O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 13 · 22:30P. Picek209740O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 9 · 02:59P. Picek207940O. Kucirek331111113
LJul 8 · 22:30P. Picek331181041O. Kucirek4171112113
WMar 26 · 24:30P. Picek331111113O. Kucirek235990
LMar 21 · 03:30P. Picek25661121O. Kucirek4111118113
P. Picek10
WSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 02:00P. Picek1.804380J. Steffan1.911111113WSep 22 · 01:00P. Picek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387660LSep 22 · 24:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991WSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 17 · 03:30P. Picek1.7311311133M. Smrcek2.007113111WSep 17 · 02:00P. Picek1.80611117113M. Smrcek1.9111871152WSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 17 · 24:00J. Steffan1.9144111182P. Picek1.80111139113WSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113
O. Kucirek10
WSep 23 · 23:00O. Kucirek1.7311116113J. Jnr2.00271171WSep 19 · 02:58D. Horak1.301061181O. Kucirek3.4012119113LSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 24:30F. Briza1.337111091O. Kucirek3.2511712113LSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111LSep 18 · 22:30O. Kucirek3.5091111101D. Horak1.2811139123WSep 16 · 20:58O. Kucirek2.001211113J. Steffan1.7310440LSep 16 · 20:30T. Andrle1.9111114113O. Kucirek1.80871191WSep 16 · 19:30O. Kucirek2.20111111113J. Steffan1.61621351LSep 16 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.531161210113O. Kucirek2.38911101262
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