TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Andrle vs Petr Picek 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119711119511
Petr Picek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:11 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Petr Picek at 62.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 15–18 Petr Picek Tomas Andrle has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Picek
Correct
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1463 vs Picek 1473
Picek
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 20% vs Picek 100%
Picek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 40% vs Picek 70%
Picek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +1 · Picek +5
Picek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Andrle) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 1.67 / Picek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Andrle)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164005
Andrle1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 49 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Picek2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 21 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAndrle5wins
AwayPicek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle100%5 of 5
AwayPicek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle5Picek5n = 10split evenly
S2Andrle7Picek3n = 10Andrle took 7 of 10
S3Andrle5Picek5n = 10split evenly
S4Andrle2Picek3n = 5Picek took 3 of 5
S5Andrle1Picek2n = 3Picek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAndrlePicekA − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.436.8−1.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrlePicekBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 477 vs 280 / 55348.6%50.6%232 / 477 vs 280 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleAndrle 1.67/Picek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle4391171152P. Picek51119119113
WJul 17 · 24:00T. Andrle341111123P. Picek2358100
WMay 20 · 24:00T. Andrle44111111113P. Picek39813991
LMay 17 · 22:30T. Andrle155730P. Picek331111113
LMay 6 · 02:00T. Andrle371011881P. Picek4312911113
WApr 25 · 03:29T. Andrle361411113P. Picek2712780
WApr 24 · 22:30T. Andrle331111113P. Picek217950
LApr 19 · 23:30T. Andrle47511131082P. Picek491141112113
LApr 9 · 22:00T. Andrle216780P. Picek331111113
WApr 7 · 02:00T. Andrle44121137113P. Picek49108111192
T. Andrle10
WSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda2.251560T. Andrle1.571111113WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461LSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182LSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110WSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102LSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852
P. Picek10
WSep 17 · 03:30P. Picek1.7311311133M. Smrcek2.007113111WSep 17 · 02:00P. Picek1.80611117113M. Smrcek1.9111871152WSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 17 · 24:00J. Steffan1.9144111182P. Picek1.80111139113WSep 16 · 22:30V. Dolezal2.381015111272P. Picek1.531213714113LSep 16 · 02:58V. Dolezal3.001111113P. Picek1.367660WSep 16 · 02:30P. Picek1.5781111113A. Svoboda2.25117721LSep 16 · 01:30P. Klusacek1.6111119113P. Picek2.20671191LSep 16 · 24:00P. Picek1.28139361V. Dolezal3.50111111113WSep 15 · 23:00J. Steffan2.00781171P. Picek1.7311119113
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