TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Adam Svoboda vs Tomas Andrle 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
111511611––––
Tomas Andrle
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 45 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 56.1%
45 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 0–4 Tomas Andrle Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 08:16What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Andrle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Andrle
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1521 vs Andrle 1452
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Andrle 20%
Svoboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 70% vs Andrle 30%
Svoboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Andrle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Andrle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 2.25 / Andrle 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168312
Svoboda2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 44 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back19% 12 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Andrle1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 49 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvoboda0wins
AwayAndrle4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderAndrle leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayAndrle100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda0Andrle4n = 4Andrle took 4 of 4
S2Svoboda0Andrle4n = 4Andrle took 4 of 4
S3Svoboda2Andrle2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvobodaAndrleS − ABasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match27.037.2−10.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 338 vs 232 / 47753.3%48.6%180 / 338 vs 232 / 477Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 2.25/Andrle 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 11 · 07:30A. Svoboda34961181T. Andrle3911116113
LMay 22 · 22:30A. Svoboda46107111172T. Andrle44121182113
LApr 25 · 02:00A. Svoboda145360T. Andrle331111113
LFeb 14 · 02:30A. Svoboda145360T. Andrle331111113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 21 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80911571J. Steffan1.9111911113WSep 19 · 03:30M. Placek1.618860A. Svoboda2.201111113LSep 19 · 02:30M. Placek1.911111113A. Svoboda1.809790WSep 19 · 01:00D. Horak2.2057111142A. Svoboda1.61111165113WSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111WSep 18 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80112911113F. Briza1.9171111762WSep 18 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.2811811113D. Horak3.50611681WSep 18 · 16:00D. Horak1.8312271162A. Svoboda1.831011119113LSep 18 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.8391311123A. Svoboda1.8311119101WSep 18 · 14:30A. Svoboda1.91611119133F. Briza1.80115811112
T. Andrle10
LSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461LSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182LSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110WSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102LSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882LSep 16 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk1.807111011113T. Andrle1.9011612852
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