TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13146711
Played Sep 19Finished
Marek Placek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117119––––
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 4–1 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svoboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Placek
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1458 vs Svoboda 1556
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 60% vs Svoboda 100%
Svoboda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 60% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek +3 · Svoboda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.91 / Svoboda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svoboda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13146711
Placek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 30 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Svoboda1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it87% 47 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePlacek4wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
2 of 5 to a deciderPlacek leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacek100%4 of 4
AwaySvobodan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek4Svoboda1n = 5Placek took 4 of 5
S2Placek3Svoboda2n = 5Placek took 3 of 5
S3Placek1Svoboda4n = 5Svoboda took 4 of 5
S4Placek2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricPlacekSvobodaP − SBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match43.238.8+4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 399 vs 179 / 33551.6%53.4%206 / 399 vs 179 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaPlacek 1.91/Svoboda 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 13 · 01:00M. Placek2710890A. Svoboda341211113
WMay 23 · 02:00M. Placek44111111113A. Svoboda37971381
WApr 24 · 23:00M. Placek43111011113A. Svoboda32412791
WJan 3 · 02:30M. Placek541112128113A. Svoboda51810141182
WDec 6 · 02:30M. Placek48111169113A. Svoboda4084111162
M. Placek10
LSep 19 · 03:30M. Placek1.618860A. Svoboda2.201111113WSep 19 · 01:30O. Kucirek2.3811911992M. Placek1.53711411113WSep 19 · 24:00M. Placek1.44111111123D. Horak2.631347101WSep 18 · 23:00F. Briza2.201112991M. Placek1.6161411113LSep 13 · 02:58A. Mikuska1.531111113M. Placek2.386950LSep 13 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571081111113M. Placek2.2512116962LSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890LSep 12 · 23:30M. Placek1.578116111F. Briza2.2511511133WSep 12 · 22:00M. Placek1.831111113M. Kolar1.838870WSep 12 · 20:58M. Placek1.5012119113F. Briza2.501081181
A. Svoboda10
WSep 19 · 03:30M. Placek1.618860A. Svoboda2.201111113WSep 19 · 01:00D. Horak2.2057111142A. Svoboda1.61111165113WSep 18 · 23:30A. Svoboda1.8301211133O. Kucirek1.8311103111WSep 18 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80112911113F. Briza1.9171111762WSep 18 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.2811811113D. Horak3.50611681WSep 18 · 16:00D. Horak1.8312271162A. Svoboda1.831011119113LSep 18 · 15:00T. Kolenic1.8391311123A. Svoboda1.8311119101WSep 18 · 14:30A. Svoboda1.91611119133F. Briza1.80115811112LSep 16 · 02:30P. Picek1.5781111113A. Svoboda2.25117721WSep 13 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.101211113M. Placek1.6710890
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