TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Picek vs Tomas Andrle 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Petr Picek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111131151210117
Tomas Andrle
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:22 and never touched — 55.1% is still 55.1%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
55.1%
55.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Petr Picek at 55.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 19–15 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Picek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Picek
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1463 vs Andrle 1473
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 40% vs Andrle 60%
Andrle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 70% vs Andrle 40%
Picek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek -1 · Andrle +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Picek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 1.73 / Andrle 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Picek)+1.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178923
Picek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 74 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it80% 56 of 70
Andrle2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 40 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back31% 14 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPicek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek100%6 of 6
AwayAndrle100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek6Andrle4n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S2Picek4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S3Picek5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S4Picek2Andrle2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekAndrleP − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.232.3+2.9per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 558 vs 232 / 47450.5%49%282 / 558 vs 232 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekPicek 1.73/Andrle 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Picek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 02:58P. Picek331111113T. Andrle132650
WSep 21 · 22:30P. Picek51119119113T. Andrle4391171152
LJul 17 · 24:00P. Picek2358100T. Andrle341111123
LMay 20 · 24:00P. Picek39813991T. Andrle44111111113
WMay 17 · 22:30P. Picek331111113T. Andrle155730
WMay 6 · 02:00P. Picek4312911113T. Andrle371011881
LApr 25 · 03:29P. Picek2712780T. Andrle361411113
LApr 24 · 22:30P. Picek217950T. Andrle331111113
WApr 19 · 23:30P. Picek491141112113T. Andrle47511131082
WApr 9 · 22:00P. Picek331111113T. Andrle216780
P. Picek10
LSep 23 · 22:00P. Picek3.5061161382O. Kucirek1.281141111113WSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 02:00P. Picek1.804380J. Steffan1.911111113WSep 22 · 01:00P. Picek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.387660LSep 22 · 24:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991WSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 17 · 03:30P. Picek1.7311311133M. Smrcek2.007113111WSep 17 · 02:00P. Picek1.80611117113M. Smrcek1.9111871152WSep 17 · 01:00P. Picek1.4091111123R. Bartunek2.751179101WSep 17 · 24:00J. Steffan1.9144111182P. Picek1.80111139113
T. Andrle10
WSep 23 · 22:30T. Andrle1.44119818113A. Svoboda2.63311111662LSep 22 · 02:58T. Andrle1.802650P. Picek1.911111113LSep 22 · 01:30T. Andrle2.0081191362J. Jnr1.731111111113WSep 22 · 24:30J. Steffan1.571311117102T. Andrle2.25159611123WSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda2.251560T. Andrle1.571111113LSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461LSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182
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