TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Andrle vs Jan Varcl Jnr 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111119111311611
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:15 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJan Varcl Jnr to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jan Varcl Jnr at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 7–8 Jan Varcl Jnr Tomas Andrle has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:15What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1477 vs Jnr 1475
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 60% vs Jnr 80%
Jnr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 50% vs Jnr 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +2 · Jnr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 2.00 / Jnr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jnr)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168382
Andrle2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 39 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Jnr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 34 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it78% 21 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAndrle7wins
AwayJnr3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAndrle leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle71.4%5 of 7
AwayJnr33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle7Jnr3n = 10Andrle took 7 of 10
S2Andrle5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S3Andrle5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S4Andrle6Jnr3n = 9Andrle took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAndrleJnrA − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.9+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 479 vs 122 / 24048.9%50.8%234 / 479 vs 122 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrAndrle 2.00/Jnr 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 11 · 02:58T. Andrle3111331132J. Jnr45511117113
WAug 10 · 22:00T. Andrle3711114113J. Jnr31961151
WJul 7 · 19:00T. Andrle46101211133J. Jnr4212109111
WJul 2 · 01:00T. Andrle371311133J. Jnr29117110
LFeb 25 · 23:00T. Andrle31711761J. Jnr4011711113
LJan 12 · 23:00T. Andrle341111481J. Jnr4161311113
WDec 18 · 10:00T. Andrle49111188113J. Jnr4256111192
WDec 18 · 07:00T. Andrle4411911133J. Jnr338113111
WNov 19 · 08:00T. Andrle4111811113J. Jnr38911991
T. Andrle10
WSep 22 · 24:30J. Steffan1.571311117102T. Andrle2.25159611123WSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda2.251560T. Andrle1.571111113LSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461LSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182LSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110WSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102
J. Jnr10
WSep 22 · 02:30J. Jnr1.441111113A. Svoboda2.635880WSep 22 · 24:00J. Jnr1.8091211113P. Picek1.911110991WSep 21 · 23:00J. Steffan2.20911911112J. Jnr1.61117117133LSep 14 · 09:30J. Jnr1.90971161K. Darin1.8011115113WSep 14 · 08:30M. Stefek3.257490J. Jnr1.331111113WSep 14 · 07:30J. Jnr2.101111113K. Darin1.679960WSep 14 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.7311134442J. Jnr2.007111111113LSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890LSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143LSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892
Upcoming Matches
T. Andrle
Nothing scheduled
J. Jnr
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.