TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jan Steffan vs Tomas Andrle 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13151191167111012
Tomas Andrle
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 105 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jan Steffan at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 42–27 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 27 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-27 in 69
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 15 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1394 vs Andrle 1469
Andrle
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 40% vs Andrle 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 40% vs Andrle 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -1 · Andrle +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Steffan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Steffan form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.57 / Andrle 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Steffan)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13168103
Steffan1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 117 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it89% 58 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it78% 90 of 115
Andrle2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 39 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back32% 14 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan50%2 of 4
AwayAndrle33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S2Steffan4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S3Steffan4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S4Steffan6Andrle3n = 9Steffan took 6 of 9
S5Steffan4Andrle1n = 5Steffan took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanAndrleS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.340.8+2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 979 vs 233 / 47847.5%48.7%465 / 979 vs 233 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SteffanSteffan 1.57/Andrle 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.1%
Steffan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 18:00J. Steffan2678110T. Andrle351111133
LSep 11 · 09:30J. Steffan4511118962T. Andrle48871111113
WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan47611612123T. Andrle501181110102
WAug 11 · 24:30J. Steffan4011711113T. Andrle32511791
WAug 4 · 15:00J. Steffan491061111113T. Andrle4312115692
WJul 31 · 24:30J. Steffan538101113113T. Andrle49111281172
LJul 29 · 24:30J. Steffan37119981T. Andrle3631111113
LJul 17 · 01:00J. Steffan4011111081T. Andrle4213612113
WJul 15 · 01:00J. Steffan541211911113T. Andrle4314511672
WJul 13 · 01:30J. Steffan4211911113T. Andrle30811651
J. Steffan10
LSep 21 · 23:00J. Steffan2.20911911112J. Jnr1.61117117133WSep 21 · 22:00A. Svoboda1.80911571J. Steffan1.9111911113LSep 21 · 09:28T. Nohejl1.67126811143J. Steffan2.101011117122LSep 21 · 08:00T. Nohejl2.0061112113J. Steffan1.731141021WSep 21 · 07:00V. Dolezal2.00311100J. Steffan1.731113123WSep 21 · 06:30J. Steffan1.251111133J. Strnad3.7596110LSep 17 · 02:30J. Steffan1.9159150R. Bartunek1.801111173LSep 17 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.1011511113J. Steffan1.67811661LSep 17 · 24:00J. Steffan1.9144111182P. Picek1.80111139113WSep 16 · 23:00M. Smrcek1.6779111182J. Steffan2.10111159113
T. Andrle10
WSep 21 · 23:30A. Svoboda2.251560T. Andrle1.571111113LSep 21 · 22:30T. Andrle1.6791171152P. Picek2.10119119113WSep 18 · 20:58D. Parhomenko1.53581191T. Andrle2.3811117113LSep 18 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.6711711113T. Andrle2.10511461LSep 18 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00981161Y. Holovatiuk1.7311116113LSep 18 · 18:30K. Darin1.73612913113T. Andrle2.001110111182LSep 17 · 21:28L. Krok2.001111133T. Andrle1.7364110WSep 17 · 20:30D. Parhomenko1.7371141162T. Andrle2.00116117113WSep 17 · 19:30T. Andrle2.00911119123K. Darin1.73116811102LSep 17 · 18:30L. Krok2.00681111113T. Andrle1.7311119882
Upcoming Matches
J. Steffan
T. Andrle
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