TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Vich vs Tomas Cerveny Jr 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811811611––
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 21–16 Tomas Cerveny Jr Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-16 in 37
Vich
Wrong
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1515 vs Jr 1536
Jr
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 60% vs Jr 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich +1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vich form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.83 / Jr 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13176751
Vich1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Jr1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich7wins
AwayJr3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVich leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich100%6 of 6
AwayJr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich6Jr4n = 10Vich took 6 of 10
S2Vich4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Vich8Jr2n = 10Vich took 8 of 10
S4Vich3Jr2n = 5Vich took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichJrV − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.332.1+3.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichJrBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 514 vs 338 / 61346.7%55.1%240 / 514 vs 338 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrVich 1.83/Jr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 19:20L. Vich207760T. Jr331111113
WSep 6 · 19:55L. Vich4111811113T. Jr37811991
WAug 20 · 20:50L. Vich48117118113T. Jr4671191182
LAug 6 · 22:28L. Vich257990T. Jr331111113
WAug 6 · 20:55L. Vich331111113T. Jr208840
LJul 31 · 18:55L. Vich4381411101T. Jr4811169123
WJun 25 · 20:20L. Vich331111113T. Jr147430
WJun 23 · 20:55L. Vich3811511113T. Jr30811561
WJun 21 · 20:55L. Vich3851111113T. Jr35119781
WJun 11 · 20:55L. Vich341112113T. Jr2571080
L. Vich10
WSep 22 · 19:20L. Vich2.38711611113T. Barsa1.5311511372WSep 20 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil1.8510850L. Vich1.851211113LSep 20 · 20:20L. Vich2.5091111882P. Cibik1.50118611113LSep 20 · 19:20L. Vich1.807760T. Jr1.911111113LSep 20 · 18:20L. Vich2.007180Z. Vyskocil1.731111113WSep 14 · 22:00S. Matousch1.9013871182L. Vich1.801111117113WSep 14 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73111031182L. Vich2.00912117113LSep 14 · 19:50L. Vich1.618570S. Matousch2.201111113WSep 14 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83111191192L. Vich1.83471113113WSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111
T. Jr10
WSep 21 · 14:00T. Jr1.20111111113M. Kolbusovsky3.80881391LSep 21 · 12:50J. Vintr2.2512155113T. Jr1.5710131181WSep 21 · 11:50T. Jr1.53111111113M. Kolbusovsky2.38691381WSep 21 · 10:20S. Matousch3.00107100T. Jr1.361211123LSep 20 · 21:55T. Jr1.271110771P. Cibik3.3081211113WSep 20 · 20:50T. Jr1.73117118113Z. Vyskocil2.0091141142WSep 20 · 19:20L. Vich1.807760T. Jr1.911111113WSep 20 · 18:50P. Cibik3.401196101T. Jr1.3081111123WSep 18 · 13:25T. Jr1.8013117113P. Kubat1.911191141LSep 18 · 12:50T. Jr3.0061161132L. Rek1.36115110113
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