TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zbynek Pagac vs David Szotek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Zbynek Pagac
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311116119118––
David Szotek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingZbynek Pagac above · David Szotek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8
70 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Pagac 15–10 David Szotek David Szotek has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pagac beat Szotek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pagac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPagac 1.73 / Szotek 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Pagac)+2.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13173211
Pagac1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it78% 78 of 100
Szotek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 46 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePagac6wins
AwaySzotek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPagac leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePagac100%3 of 3
AwaySzotek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pagac3Szotek7n = 10Szotek took 7 of 10
S2Pagac6Szotek4n = 10Pagac took 6 of 10
S3Pagac7Szotek3n = 10Pagac took 7 of 10
S4Pagac1Szotek3n = 4Szotek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPagacSzotekP − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.933.7+2.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPagacSzotekBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 682 vs 151 / 34647.8%43.6%326 / 682 vs 151 / 346Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PagacPagac 1.73/Szotek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Pagac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pagac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 18:30Z. Pagac331111113D. Szotek249780
WSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac361411113D. Szotek2112540
LAug 25 · 18:30Z. Pagac216690D. Szotek331111113
LAug 25 · 14:00Z. Pagac2612590D. Szotek361411113
WAug 24 · 12:00Z. Pagac331111113D. Szotek219750
LAug 21 · 21:28Z. Pagac217950D. Szotek331111113
WAug 21 · 19:30Z. Pagac539121110113D. Szotek48111071282
WAug 20 · 15:00Z. Pagac4181111113D. Szotek29116571
WAug 19 · 16:30Z. Pagac511011118113D. Szotek4512691172
LAug 16 · 12:30Z. Pagac4491011141D. Szotek4711128163
Z. Pagac10
LSep 21 · 20:30R. Hudeczek1.7381111113Z. Pagac2.00116731LSep 21 · 19:30Z. Pagac2.50114641M. Chalupa1.5071111113WSep 21 · 18:30D. Szotek1.919780Z. Pagac1.801111113LSep 19 · 13:30M. Chalupa1.441111113Z. Pagac2.639950WSep 19 · 12:30R. Hudeczek1.67111191092Z. Pagac2.10571112113WSep 19 · 11:30Z. Pagac2.50111185113F. Nadymacek1.5079111182LSep 19 · 10:30M. Chalupa1.5311812113Z. Pagac2.389111081LSep 17 · 20:59Z. Pagac1.441112591M. Holub2.6341411113WSep 17 · 20:30Z. Pagac1.83121173113T. Kypr1.83104111172LSep 17 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.255890M. Chalupa1.571111113
D. Szotek10
LSep 21 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.7311520113D. Szotek2.006111871LSep 21 · 19:00R. Hudeczek2.101111113D. Szotek1.679580LSep 21 · 18:30D. Szotek1.919780Z. Pagac1.801111113WSep 13 · 17:00M. Chalupa1.8567120D. Szotek1.851111143LSep 13 · 16:30Z. Pagac2.101411113D. Szotek1.6712540WSep 13 · 15:30D. Szotek2.001115113M. Chalupa1.7391380LSep 13 · 14:30R. Hudeczek2.101115113D. Szotek1.6781350LSep 10 · 20:58M. Chalupa1.734111111113D. Szotek2.0011621342LSep 10 · 20:30D. Szotek1.91119731L. Kern1.8041111113LSep 10 · 19:00D. Szotek1.91127921M. Chalupa1.80101111113
Upcoming Matches
Z. Pagac
Nothing scheduled
D. Szotek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.