TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadim Reva vs Hennadii Buianover 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Vadim Reva
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111312101513411811
Hennadii Buianover
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHennadii Buianover to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVadim Reva above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Hennadii Buianover at 54.0%
108 points played in total.
H2H Vadim Reva 45–61 Hennadii Buianover Vadim Reva has won 45 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Buianover
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-61 in 106
Buianover
Correct
gap of 16 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reva 1279 vs Buianover 1236
Reva
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reva 60% vs Buianover 40%
Reva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reva 60% vs Buianover 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reva +3 · Buianover -2
Reva
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Buianover)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReva 1.83 / Buianover 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Buianover)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13173119
Reva1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Buianover1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReva4wins
AwayBuianover6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBuianover leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReva100%4 of 4
AwayBuianover100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reva4Buianover6n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10
S2Reva6Buianover4n = 10Reva took 6 of 10
S3Reva4Buianover6n = 10Buianover took 6 of 10
S4Reva2Buianover3n = 5Buianover took 3 of 5
S5Reva1Buianover2n = 3Buianover took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaBuianoverR − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.236.9−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 385 vs 157 / 38855.1%40.5%212 / 385 vs 157 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuianoverReva 1.83/Buianover 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Buianover · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 19:35V. Reva50111215482H. Buianover5813101311113
LSep 16 · 13:35V. Reva226880H. Buianover331111113
LSep 9 · 13:35V. Reva25101050H. Buianover351212113
WSep 2 · 17:05V. Reva331111113H. Buianover132650
LSep 1 · 19:35V. Reva381012791H. Buianover44121011113
LAug 30 · 16:55V. Reva142750H. Buianover331111113
WAug 27 · 13:35V. Reva511171110123H. Buianover45411812102
WAug 12 · 18:05V. Reva4111118113H. Buianover34991151
LAug 12 · 14:35V. Reva4151191152H. Buianover45115117113
WAug 10 · 19:35V. Reva371313113H. Buianover29111170
V. Reva10
WSep 22 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.109640V. Reva1.671111113WSep 22 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.5771090V. Reva2.251112113WSep 22 · 14:35V. Reva2.00111014113R. Serhyenko1.735121261LSep 22 · 13:35M. Karelov2.0011146123V. Reva1.7391211101LSep 16 · 19:35V. Reva1.6710411111M. Karelov2.1012116133WSep 16 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.006680V. Reva1.731111113WSep 16 · 15:35A. Sydorenko1.61111014482V. Reva2.205121211113LSep 16 · 14:35V. Reva3.509330V. Leonov1.281111113LSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 9 · 19:05V. Reva1.731111113V. Lukianevych2.005740
H. Buianover10
LSep 22 · 18:05H. Buianover4.007690R. Serhyenko1.221111113LSep 22 · 16:05M. Karelov2.101111113H. Buianover1.675380WSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.288911121H. Buianover3.5011117143LSep 22 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.5041111113H. Buianover2.50117541WSep 16 · 19:05H. Buianover4.5011119113V. Leonov1.17961191LSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942LSep 16 · 16:05H. Buianover1.40111190M. Karelov2.751313113WSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:35H. Buianover2.001111113V. Reva1.736880WSep 13 · 18:35V. Melnyk4.3371140H. Buianover1.201113113
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