TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Szostok vs Pawel Slosarczyk 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114116––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:20 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
115114116––––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 27–7 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 7 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-7 in 34
Szostok
Correct
gap of 20 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1440 vs Slosarczyk 1242
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 40% vs Slosarczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 60% vs Slosarczyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +1 · Slosarczyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.41 / Slosarczyk 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Szostok)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13172786
Szostok1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 331 of 514
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it80% 215 of 270
Slosarczyk2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 106 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back13% 27 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok9wins
AwaySlosarczyk1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok85.7%6 of 7
AwaySlosarczyk0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok7Slosarczyk3n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S2Szostok9Slosarczyk1n = 10Szostok took 9 of 10
S3Szostok8Slosarczyk2n = 10Szostok took 8 of 10
S4Szostok4Slosarczyk1n = 5Szostok took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokSlosarczykSzostok − SlosarczykBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.328.3+11.0per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime915 / 1578 vs 338 / 88858%38.1%915 / 1578 vs 338 / 888Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.335.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.41/Slosarczyk 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 24:25S. Szostok4291111113P. Slosarczyk29115941
WSep 20 · 20:45S. Szostok361114113P. Slosarczyk2791260
WAug 21 · 22:55S. Szostok361411113P. Slosarczyk2312650
WAug 21 · 16:55S. Szostok5310111110113P. Slosarczyk3912351272
WAug 10 · 04:40S. Szostok331111113P. Slosarczyk175840
WAug 9 · 22:40S. Szostok43101111113P. Slosarczyk29127551
WJul 28 · 11:00S. Szostok331111113P. Slosarczyk185760
WJul 28 · 04:55S. Szostok4111116133P. Slosarczyk409911111
WJul 15 · 13:30S. Szostok331111113P. Slosarczyk185850
LJul 15 · 07:20S. Szostok4311571192P. Slosarczyk43911111113
S. Szostok10
WSep 21 · 21:30S. Szostok1.571115113G. Marud2.0261370LSep 21 · 20:20S. Szostok1.571211101162M. Sikon2.20144123113LSep 21 · 18:45S. Szostok1.52791211132M. Baron2.301111108153WSep 21 · 17:30S. Szostok1.90101111113P. Kurek1.75126871LSep 21 · 02:45R. Ogon4.55111211153S. Szostok1.107144131WSep 21 · 01:35S. Szostok1.511111143J. Nowak2.4089120WSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113WSep 20 · 23:10O. Sokolowski2.607119151S. Szostok1.4111511173LSep 20 · 21:35M. Sikon2.371171111113S. Szostok1.5271181382WSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113
P. Slosarczyk10
LSep 21 · 21:55P. Slosarczyk2.40118551P. Kurek1.5091111113WSep 21 · 20:45G. Marud1.541111961P. Slosarczyk2.2513911113LSep 21 · 19:30M. Sikon1.8011115113P. Slosarczyk1.90791181LSep 21 · 17:55M. Baron1.70111113113P. Slosarczyk2.00571591WSep 21 · 02:00M. Sikon1.8061060P. Slosarczyk1.901112113WSep 21 · 01:10R. Ogon2.854750P. Slosarczyk1.361111113LSep 21 · 24:25P. Slosarczyk2.15115941S. Szostok1.6091111113WSep 20 · 22:50P. Slosarczyk1.90111111113J. Nowak1.80135661WSep 20 · 22:00O. Sokolowski1.766101191P. Slosarczyk1.9511127113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Slosarczyk2.8591260S. Szostok1.361114113
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