TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Chmielowski vs Kamil Rudomina 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Jakub Chmielowski
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151151513––––
Kamil Rudomina
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Chmielowski to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Chmielowski above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 15-13
Point 60 set 3, 15-13 — our read held Jakub Chmielowski at 55.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Chmielowski 7–4 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chmielowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Chmielowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chmielowski 1648 vs Rudomina 1487
Chmielowski
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chmielowski 80% vs Rudomina 20%
Chmielowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chmielowski 70% vs Rudomina 40%
Chmielowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chmielowski +3 · Rudomina -1
Chmielowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Chmielowski) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rudomina form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChmielowski 1.44 / Rudomina 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Chmielowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13171476
Chmielowski1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 123 of 207
Up 2–0, closes it92% 56 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it73% 97 of 133
Rudomina2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 190 of 522
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChmielowski6wins
AwayRudomina4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderChmielowski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChmielowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayRudomina75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chmielowski6Rudomina4n = 10Chmielowski took 6 of 10
S2Chmielowski7Rudomina3n = 10Chmielowski took 7 of 10
S3Chmielowski6Rudomina4n = 10Chmielowski took 6 of 10
S4Chmielowski2Rudomina4n = 6Rudomina took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricChmielowskiRudominaC − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.134.4+2.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChmielowskiRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 723 vs 964 / 207148.6%46.6%351 / 723 vs 964 / 2071Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChmielowskiChmielowski 1.44/Rudomina 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Chmielowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chmielowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 20:05J. Chmielowski541410119102K. Rudomina541212711123
LApr 19 · 10:55J. Chmielowski347111061K. Rudomina4111712113
WDec 12 · 20:45J. Chmielowski44111110123K. Rudomina348412101
LSep 12 · 20:10J. Chmielowski175660K. Rudomina331111113
WAug 16 · 17:50J. Chmielowski3811115113K. Rudomina33791161
WJul 9 · 15:00J. Chmielowski49911123143K. Rudomina501161011122
WJul 7 · 17:20J. Chmielowski331111113K. Rudomina154470
WJul 6 · 08:45J. Chmielowski351111133K. Rudomina2568110
LJul 5 · 14:45J. Chmielowski344911101K. Rudomina4111117123
WJul 5 · 05:00J. Chmielowski331111113K. Rudomina187740
J. Chmielowski10
WSep 22 · 18:30M. Minda2.25116511J. Chmielowski1.5791111113WSep 22 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.00114731J. Chmielowski1.7391111113WSep 22 · 16:55J. Chmielowski1.8371111113J. Mitas1.83116771LSep 22 · 15:45J. Chmielowski1.83111121172P. Blocho1.83137114113WSep 22 · 24:35K. Staszczyk2.00111181172J. Chmielowski1.73781113113LSep 21 · 22:55M. Kolek1.8311116113J. Chmielowski1.83991181WSep 21 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.856880J. Chmielowski1.361111113LSep 21 · 21:25J. Mitas2.0011113113J. Chmielowski1.73861191WSep 21 · 20:05J. Chmielowski1.4411117123M. Minda2.635811101WSep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek2.00812791J. Chmielowski1.73111011113
K. Rudomina10
LSep 22 · 19:15J. Mitas1.531111113K. Rudomina2.385650WSep 22 · 17:20M. Minda1.918940K. Rudomina1.801111113LSep 22 · 16:30P. Blocho1.67611111113K. Rudomina2.1011781162LSep 22 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.57116118113K. Rudomina2.2521191132LSep 21 · 24:10K. Rudomina2.00591171B. Sulkowski1.7311118113WSep 20 · 23:20K. Rudomina2.2011711123L. Pietraszko1.616113101WSep 20 · 21:50K. Rudomina1.831111113P. Blocho1.839990LSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100WSep 20 · 19:15K. Rudomina1.801111113B. Sulkowski1.915850
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