TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Kamil Rudomina
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1167111131210––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 71 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 55.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 10–22 Lukasz Pietraszko Kamil Rudomina has won 10 of their 32 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Pietraszko beat Rudomina 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pietraszko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-22 in 32
Pietraszko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1490 vs Pietraszko 1631
Pietraszko
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 40% vs Pietraszko 80%
Pietraszko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 40% vs Pietraszko 70%
Pietraszko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina +1 · Pietraszko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 2.20 / Pietraszko 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Pietraszko)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13164659
Rudomina2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 190 of 522
Down 0–1, comes back22% 66 of 299
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 145
Pietraszko1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 120 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it82% 83 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina2wins
AwayPietraszko8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPietraszko leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudominan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPietraszko88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina1Pietraszko9n = 10Pietraszko took 9 of 10
S2Rudomina4Pietraszko6n = 10Pietraszko took 6 of 10
S3Rudomina3Pietraszko7n = 10Pietraszko took 7 of 10
S4Rudomina5Pietraszko2n = 7Rudomina took 5 of 7
S5Rudomina2Pietraszko4n = 6Pietraszko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaPietraszkoR − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.041.3−4.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime970 / 2078 vs 436 / 86346.7%50.5%970 / 2078 vs 436 / 863Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoRudomina 2.20/Pietraszko 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:30K. Rudomina28108100L. Pietraszko351211123
LJun 8 · 23:20K. Rudomina4151161182L. Pietraszko45118114113
LJun 8 · 21:00K. Rudomina2110560L. Pietraszko341211113
LJun 4 · 16:15K. Rudomina139310L. Pietraszko331111113
LJun 1 · 19:20K. Rudomina5379111792L. Pietraszko521111415113
LMay 24 · 18:15K. Rudomina45611117102L. Pietraszko47115811123
LApr 13 · 15:25K. Rudomina45411101192L. Pietraszko47118125113
LApr 6 · 12:15K. Rudomina341111571L. Pietraszko3613111113
WMar 30 · 12:15K. Rudomina51991111113L. Pietraszko4011117562
WMar 23 · 20:40K. Rudomina39112411113L. Pietraszko4491111582
K. Rudomina10
WSep 20 · 21:50K. Rudomina1.831111113P. Blocho1.839990LSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100LSep 20 · 18:05P. Blocho1.831111113K. Rudomina1.836860WSep 20 · 16:55M. Kolek1.4491111972K. Rudomina2.63119911113LSep 20 · 15:25A. Wos1.7371211113K. Rudomina2.001110171WSep 18 · 24:10M. Kolek1.5071311111K. Rudomina2.5011158133LSep 17 · 23:45K. Rudomina2.6310911101K. Staszczyk1.4412118123LSep 17 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.61109111182A. Mugowski2.20121163113WSep 17 · 21:00K. Rudomina1.531111143M. Lukaszewski2.3864120
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 20 · 22:35P. Blocho2.107980L. Pietraszko1.671111113LSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.25741181L. Pietraszko1.5711116113WSep 20 · 20:30L. Pietraszko1.801211123K. Rudomina1.91108100WSep 20 · 18:50L. Pietraszko1.671111710123P. Blocho2.10891112102WSep 20 · 17:40L. Pietraszko1.8011118113M. Kolek1.91981181LSep 20 · 16:05L. Pietraszko1.8064130A. Wos1.911111153LSep 20 · 15:00L. Pietraszko1.675101151B. Sulkowski2.1011127113WSep 16 · 24:10L. Pietraszko1.50711711113A. Linek2.5011511872WSep 15 · 23:20L. Pietraszko1.831116113K. Kostyk1.8361440
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