TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Bruzek vs Josef Pelikan 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Petr Bruzek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101012119911811
Josef Pelikan
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:57 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timePetr Bruzek to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Bruzek above · Josef Pelikan below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 103 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Petr Bruzek at 57.6%
103 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bruzek 6–2 Josef Pelikan Josef Pelikan has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bruzek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Bruzek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bruzek 1277 vs Pelikan 1300
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bruzek 20% vs Pelikan 60%
Pelikan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bruzek 20% vs Pelikan 80%
Pelikan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bruzek -1 · Pelikan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bruzek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruzek 1.53 / Pelikan 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Bruzek)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13170012
Bruzek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 36 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Pelikan2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 26 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBruzek6wins
AwayPelikan2wins
4 of 8 to a deciderBruzek leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruzek100%5 of 5
AwayPelikan66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruzek5Pelikan3n = 8Bruzek took 5 of 8
S2Bruzek4Pelikan4n = 8split evenly
S3Bruzek3Pelikan5n = 8Pelikan took 5 of 8
S4Bruzek3Pelikan2n = 5Bruzek took 3 of 5
S5Bruzek4Pelikan0n = 4Bruzek took 4 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBruzekPelikanB − PBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.434.9+5.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBruzekPelikanBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 383 vs 151 / 29944.9%50.5%172 / 383 vs 151 / 299Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BruzekBruzek 1.53/Pelikan 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Bruzek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LMar 26 · 02:30P. Bruzek248790J. Pelikan331111113
WJun 30 · 19:00P. Bruzek331111113J. Pelikan206770
WApr 10 · 20:00P. Bruzek331111113J. Pelikan149230
WFeb 10 · 19:00P. Bruzek46119411113J. Pelikan3561111342
WJan 13 · 22:00P. Bruzek511011811113J. Pelikan4012911352
LJan 13 · 20:00P. Bruzek368111161J. Pelikan4411139113
WJan 8 · 20:30P. Bruzek531112108123J. Pelikan485101211102
WJan 4 · 03:00P. Bruzek47127611113J. Pelikan45101111582
P. Bruzek10
WSep 23 · 03:00J. Grohsgott2.254830P. Bruzek1.581111113LSep 23 · 01:30J. Pleskot2.501114113P. Bruzek1.5081270WSep 23 · 24:00P. Bruzek1.501111113S. Mazanek2.508590LSep 22 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.751111133P. Bruzek1.4079110LSep 14 · 21:00P. Bruzek1.5728111172M. Novotny2.25111166113LSep 14 · 20:00P. Bruzek1.36711451M. Barta3.0011411113LSep 14 · 19:30J. Framberk1.61511119113P. Bruzek2.2011891152WSep 14 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5781111113M. Novotny2.25115791LSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113LSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133
J. Pelikan10
WSep 23 · 03:30J. Pleskot2.201181114112J. Pelikan1.60611816133WSep 23 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.63691161J. Pelikan1.4411118113LSep 22 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.73412111142J. Pleskot2.001110813113WSep 22 · 22:00J. Pelikan1.5011116113J. Grohsgott2.50451181WSep 20 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.53551113113M. Novotny2.35111151142LSep 20 · 01:30J. Pelikan1.28611691P. Berdych3.5011411113WSep 20 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.836590J. Pelikan1.831111113WSep 19 · 23:30M. Novotny2.5010630J. Pelikan1.501211113WSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.6811911113S. Mazanek2.05911861
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