TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Josef Pelikan vs Jiri Grohsgott 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Josef Pelikan
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114115611118––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeJosef Pelikan to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Pelikan above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 67 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Josef Pelikan at 59.6%
67 points played in total.
H2H Josef Pelikan 13–11 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pelikan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Pelikan
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelikan 1305 vs Grohsgott 1188
Pelikan
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelikan 80% vs Grohsgott 40%
Pelikan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelikan 90% vs Grohsgott 30%
Pelikan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelikan +1 · Grohsgott -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pelikan) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelikan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelikan 1.50 / Grohsgott 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Pelikan)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13168571
Pelikan1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Grohsgott2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 133 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back22% 42 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelikan6wins
AwayGrohsgott4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPelikan leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelikan80%4 of 5
AwayGrohsgott60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelikan5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S2Pelikan5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S3Pelikan6Grohsgott4n = 10Pelikan took 6 of 10
S4Pelikan2Grohsgott5n = 7Grohsgott took 5 of 7
S5Pelikan4Grohsgott2n = 6Pelikan took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelikanGrohsgottP − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.7−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelikanGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 296 vs 737 / 151750.3%48.6%149 / 296 vs 737 / 1517Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelikanPelikan 1.50/Grohsgott 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Pelikan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pelikan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 24:30J. Pelikan331111113J. Grohsgott206590
LSep 3 · 20:00J. Pelikan182880J. Grohsgott331111113
LAug 30 · 24:00J. Pelikan195860J. Grohsgott331111113
LJul 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan4311811672J. Grohsgott49911711113
WJul 14 · 23:30J. Pelikan44111183113J. Grohsgott4275111182
LJul 12 · 23:00J. Pelikan4061113192J. Grohsgott531191111113
WJun 15 · 20:00J. Pelikan4411912123J. Grohsgott3871110101
WMay 18 · 02:30J. Pelikan49811118113J. Grohsgott4611691192
WMay 7 · 01:30J. Pelikan521111118113J. Grohsgott4161371142
WMay 4 · 22:00J. Pelikan471211211113J. Grohsgott4214611832
J. Pelikan10
LSep 22 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.73412111142J. Pleskot2.001110813113WSep 20 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.53551113113M. Novotny2.35111151142LSep 20 · 01:30J. Pelikan1.28611691P. Berdych3.5011411113WSep 20 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.836590J. Pelikan1.831111113WSep 19 · 23:30M. Novotny2.5010630J. Pelikan1.501211113WSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 16 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.6811911113S. Mazanek2.05911861WSep 16 · 02:30S. Mazanek2.107680J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 16 · 01:00D. Mutl2.105980J. Pelikan1.671111113WSep 15 · 23:30J. Pelikan1.22611711113M. Syroha4.0011311772
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 22 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.751111133P. Bruzek1.4079110LSep 20 · 21:28J. Grohsgott1.83411851M. Lubas1.8311911113WSep 20 · 20:00J. Grohsgott1.7311711113M. Syroha2.00911591LSep 20 · 19:30J. Svec1.9171111113J. Grohsgott1.80117681WSep 20 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.0011124113M. Lubas1.739101181LSep 20 · 02:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.206780LSep 20 · 24:30J. Grohsgott1.836590J. Pelikan1.831111113LSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.635660P. Berdych1.441111113LSep 19 · 22:00M. Novotny1.5011136113J. Grohsgott2.505111161LSep 17 · 21:00J. Svec2.3813119113J. Grohsgott1.531181131
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