TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Roman Guliak vs Jaroslav Peter 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Roman Guliak
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911119117113––
Jaroslav Peter
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRoman Guliak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Guliak above · Jaroslav Peter below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 72 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Roman Guliak at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Roman Guliak 1–2 Jaroslav Peter Roman Guliak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Guliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guliak 1394 vs Peter 1379
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guliak 40% vs Peter 80%
Peter
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guliak 30% vs Peter 70%
Peter
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guliak -2 · Peter -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peter form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuliak 1.73 / Peter 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Guliak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169966
Guliak1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 48 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 34 of 47
Peter2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 15) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 12 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGuliak1wins
AwayPeter2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderPeter leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guliak1Peter2n = 3Peter took 2 of 3
S2Guliak2Peter1n = 3Guliak took 2 of 3
S3Guliak1Peter2n = 3Peter took 2 of 3
S4Guliak3Peter0n = 3Guliak took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGuliakPeterG − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.034.5+8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuliakPeterBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 680 vs 36 / 9249.4%39.1%336 / 680 vs 36 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuliakGuliak 1.73/Peter 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Guliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LNov 28 · 21:00R. Guliak4281191132J. Peter43115115113
WOct 20 · 14:30R. Guliak44111111113J. Peter26731331
R. Guliak10
WSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113LSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110LSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182LSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113WSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123
J. Peter10
LSep 15 · 21:30J. Peter1.5511211752M. Jasek2.35511511113WSep 15 · 20:30M. Jasek1.737880J. Peter2.001111113WSep 15 · 19:30J. Peter2.001111113M. Kolek1.735350WSep 15 · 18:30J. Stach1.73351181J. Peter2.0011116113WSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113LSep 11 · 16:00P. Kalvar1.731114811113J. Peter2.00712111362LSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:30J. Peter1.831116113A. Schneeberger1.8391470WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690WAug 28 · 20:00J. Peter1.571211113D. Kolek2.2510640
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