TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vitezslav Bosak vs Roman Guliak 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Roman Guliak
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 72.9% is still 72.9%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
72.9%
72.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 72.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 13–1 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 1 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bosak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-1 in 14
Bosak
Correct
gap of 12 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1428 vs Guliak 1418
Bosak
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 40% vs Guliak 60%
Guliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 60% vs Guliak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak -2 · Guliak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bosak) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 1.36 / Guliak 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Bosak)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179188
Bosak1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 78 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Guliak3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBosak9wins
AwayGuliak1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBosak leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak100%7 of 7
AwayGuliak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak7Guliak3n = 10Bosak took 7 of 10
S2Bosak7Guliak3n = 10Bosak took 7 of 10
S3Bosak4Guliak6n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S4Bosak7Guliak0n = 7Bosak took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBosakGuliakB − GBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.932.9+7.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 372 vs 335 / 67449.5%49.7%184 / 372 vs 335 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakBosak 1.36/Guliak 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bosak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak351111133R. Guliak1843110
WSep 18 · 20:00V. Bosak48781111113R. Guliak3111114232
WAug 22 · 21:29V. Bosak3611113113R. Guliak34971171
LAug 22 · 19:00V. Bosak208660R. Guliak331111113
WAug 10 · 18:30V. Bosak45111111123R. Guliak408913101
WAug 8 · 13:00V. Bosak4413119113R. Guliak371181171
WAug 8 · 10:30V. Bosak43101111113R. Guliak36129961
WAug 1 · 10:30V. Bosak4311129113R. Guliak296101121
WAug 1 · 06:00V. Bosak331111113R. Guliak226970
WJul 14 · 18:00V. Bosak521112711113R. Guliak4991411872
V. Bosak10
LSep 22 · 19:30J. Peter2.008111311113V. Bosak1.73111311482LSep 22 · 18:00V. Bosak1.83111161072M. Jasek1.83491112113LSep 20 · 17:30V. Bosak1.738530M. Koral2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:30V. Bosak1.361111117113T. Kraninger3.0061391182LSep 20 · 15:00V. Bosak1.67912961M. Kowolowski2.10111011113WSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110WSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113WSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780
R. Guliak10
WSep 22 · 19:00M. Jasek1.7381130R. Guliak2.001113113WSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110LSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182LSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113WSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113
Upcoming Matches
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R. Guliak
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