TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Peter vs Vitezslav Bosak 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Jaroslav Peter
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111131311114118
Vitezslav Bosak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Peter to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Peter above · Vitezslav Bosak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jaroslav Peter at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:29What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bosak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Peter 1368 vs Bosak 1428
Bosak
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peter 60% vs Bosak 40%
Peter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peter 60% vs Bosak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peter -2 · Bosak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bosak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bosak form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeter 2.00 / Bosak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bosak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179187
Peter2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 12 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back32% 6 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Bosak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 78 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeterBosakBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 89 vs 184 / 37239.3%49.5%35 / 89 vs 184 / 372Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BosakPeter 2.00/Bosak 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Peter won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Peter10
LSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 15 · 21:30J. Peter1.5511211752M. Jasek2.35511511113WSep 15 · 20:30M. Jasek1.737880J. Peter2.001111113WSep 15 · 19:30J. Peter2.001111113M. Kolek1.735350WSep 15 · 18:30J. Stach1.73351181J. Peter2.0011116113WSep 11 · 17:30D. Priesol1.52116691J. Peter2.3561111113LSep 11 · 16:00P. Kalvar1.731114811113J. Peter2.00712111362LSep 11 · 15:00D. Priesol2.001111123J. Peter1.7328100WSep 11 · 14:30J. Peter1.831116113A. Schneeberger1.8391470WAug 28 · 21:28J. Peter1.331611113D. Kolek3.2514690
V. Bosak10
WSep 22 · 20:00V. Bosak1.361111113R. Guliak3.007760LSep 22 · 18:00V. Bosak1.83111161072M. Jasek1.83491112113LSep 20 · 17:30V. Bosak1.738530M. Koral2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:30V. Bosak1.361111117113T. Kraninger3.0061391182LSep 20 · 15:00V. Bosak1.67912961M. Kowolowski2.10111011113WSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110WSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113WSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780
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