TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Vitezslav Bosak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210911611––
Miroslav Kowolowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:27 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeVitezslav Bosak to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitezslav Bosak above · Miroslav Kowolowski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 79 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vitezslav Bosak at 54.2%
79 points played in total.
H2H Vitezslav Bosak 6–3 Miroslav Kowolowski Miroslav Kowolowski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 15:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bosak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Bosak
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bosak 1458 vs Kowolowski 1513
Kowolowski
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bosak 100% vs Kowolowski 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bosak 80% vs Kowolowski 60%
Bosak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bosak +5 · Kowolowski +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bosak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowolowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBosak 1.67 / Kowolowski 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kowolowski)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160049
Bosak1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 77 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it80% 59 of 74
Kowolowski2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog53% won 33 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back31% 11 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBosak6wins
AwayKowolowski3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBosak leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBosak100%5 of 5
AwayKowolowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bosak5Kowolowski4n = 9Bosak took 5 of 9
S2Bosak4Kowolowski5n = 9Kowolowski took 5 of 9
S3Bosak8Kowolowski1n = 9Bosak took 8 of 9
S4Bosak3Kowolowski3n = 6split evenly
S5Bosak2Kowolowski1n = 3Bosak took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricBosakKowolowskiB − KBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match41.037.0+4.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBosakKowolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 368 vs 154 / 27549.7%56%183 / 368 vs 154 / 275Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowolowskiBosak 1.67/Kowolowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Bosak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kowolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 14 · 16:58V. Bosak331111113M. Kowolowski198470
LAug 14 · 16:30V. Bosak27371161M. Kowolowski4011117113
LJul 24 · 15:30V. Bosak521011121182M. Kowolowski551213109113
WJul 14 · 21:28V. Bosak52111016153M. Kowolowski4451214131
LJul 14 · 20:00V. Bosak32611961M. Kowolowski4011711113
WApr 18 · 17:13V. Bosak361411113M. Kowolowski2212640
WApr 18 · 16:30V. Bosak49138116113M. Kowolowski46111141192
WApr 2 · 21:30V. Bosak549121111113M. Kowolowski4111142682
WApr 2 · 19:30V. Bosak341111123M. Kowolowski2688100
V. Bosak10
WSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110WSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113WSep 18 · 18:30V. Bosak1.611111113M. Kolek2.209780LSep 12 · 09:30I. Taichman1.7311116113V. Bosak2.00661171WSep 12 · 08:30V. Bosak1.7314711123P. Varecha2.0012118101WSep 12 · 07:00V. Bosak1.831211113F. Zurek1.8310960LSep 12 · 06:00I. Taichman1.831111113V. Bosak1.836360WSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970
M. Kowolowski10
LSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750WSep 20 · 14:30M. Kowolowski1.9161111113T. Kraninger1.80118951WSep 14 · 13:30M. Kowolowski1.4311611123P. Varecha2.606114101WSep 14 · 12:30P. Varecha2.3881160M. Kowolowski1.531113113WSep 14 · 11:30M. Kowolowski1.7311911113I. Taichman2.00411891WSep 14 · 10:30J. Stach1.91411171142M. Kowolowski1.801161513113LAug 21 · 13:00R. Adam1.491111113M. Kowolowski2.458340LAug 21 · 12:00M. Kowolowski2.25681161R. Adam1.5711111113WAug 21 · 11:30M. Blejchar2.25271191M. Kowolowski1.5711114113LAug 21 · 10:00M. Kowolowski1.531111701I. Taichman2.3891311113
Upcoming Matches
V. Bosak
M. Kowolowski
Nothing scheduled
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