TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Milan Jasek vs Roman Guliak 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Milan Jasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113311––––
Roman Guliak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Jasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Jasek above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 57 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Milan Jasek at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Milan Jasek 18–16 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 16 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-16 in 34
Jasek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jasek 1393 vs Guliak 1405
Guliak
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jasek 80% vs Guliak 60%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jasek 60% vs Guliak 40%
Jasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jasek +2 · Guliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJasek 1.73 / Guliak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jasek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13170003
Jasek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 32 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it82% 28 of 34
Guliak2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 75 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJasek6wins
AwayGuliak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJasek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJasek100%5 of 5
AwayGuliak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jasek5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S2Jasek5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Jasek5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S4Jasek8Guliak0n = 8Jasek took 8 of 8
S5Jasek1Guliak3n = 4Guliak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJasekGuliakJ − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.037.3+4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJasekGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 249 vs 334 / 67347.8%49.6%119 / 249 vs 334 / 673Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JasekJasek 1.73/Guliak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Guliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 07:00M. Jasek5711121111123R. Guliak52714138102
WJul 21 · 20:58M. Jasek4211711133R. Guliak399118111
LJul 21 · 18:30M. Jasek44611511112R. Guliak51119117133
WJul 19 · 07:00M. Jasek341112113R. Guliak1851030
WJul 18 · 08:30M. Jasek44111111113R. Guliak28313751
WJul 14 · 20:58M. Jasek4071111113R. Guliak31115871
LJul 14 · 20:30M. Jasek4261191152R. Guliak43117113113
LJul 12 · 08:59M. Jasek2812790R. Guliak361411113
LJul 12 · 08:30M. Jasek497101111102R. Guliak45111246123
WJul 7 · 21:30M. Jasek4011117113R. Guliak30491161
M. Jasek10
WSep 22 · 18:00V. Bosak1.83111161072M. Jasek1.83491112113WSep 15 · 21:30J. Peter1.5511211752M. Jasek2.35511511113LSep 15 · 20:30M. Jasek1.737880J. Peter2.001111113WSep 15 · 19:00M. Jasek1.731111113J. Stach2.008590WSep 15 · 18:00M. Kolek2.109970M. Jasek1.671111113LSep 13 · 09:30M. Jasek2.2011691172I. Taichman1.60311115113LSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061WSep 13 · 07:30M. Jasek2.20811119113E. Gebek1.6111681182WSep 13 · 06:30I. Taichman1.509912101M. Jasek2.50111110123LSep 8 · 20:58V. Bosak2.101111113M. Jasek1.673970
R. Guliak10
WSep 22 · 18:30R. Guliak1.7391111113J. Peter2.00119731LSep 18 · 21:28V. Bosak1.441111133R. Guliak2.6343110LSep 18 · 20:00R. Guliak2.6311114232V. Bosak1.44781111113WSep 18 · 19:30M. Kolek2.028111071R. Guliak1.7011612113WSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182LSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113WSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LSep 13 · 13:00R. Guliak1.47131159102Z. Zientek2.351191111123
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