TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Urbaniec vs Petr Saleny 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119511118115––
Petr Saleny
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 71 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 64.1%
71 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 12–4 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1762 vs Saleny 1710
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Saleny 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 70% vs Saleny 40%
Urbaniec
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Saleny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saleny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.44 / Saleny 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Urbaniec)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169964
Urbaniec1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite66% won 191 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it91% 94 of 103
Up 1–0, closes it79% 131 of 166
Saleny2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec7wins
AwaySaleny3wins
Urbaniec leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%7 of 7
AwaySaleny100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec7Saleny3n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec5Saleny5n = 10split evenly
S3Urbaniec6Saleny4n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S4Urbaniec3Saleny0n = 3Urbaniec took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSalenyU − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match31.724.3+7.4per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1279 vs 206 / 40350.9%51.1%651 / 1279 vs 206 / 403Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.44/Saleny 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 7 · 12:00R. Urbaniec4211119113P. Saleny37981191
LAug 7 · 08:59R. Urbaniec237880P. Saleny331111113
LAug 7 · 07:00R. Urbaniec146530P. Saleny331111113
WJul 9 · 10:00R. Urbaniec331111113P. Saleny114340
WJul 9 · 06:30R. Urbaniec44111111113P. Saleny25513611
WApr 9 · 20:00R. Urbaniec4211911113P. Saleny27611731
WMar 20 · 13:30R. Urbaniec331111113P. Saleny103340
LMar 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec2031070P. Saleny341112113
WMar 19 · 16:30R. Urbaniec331111113P. Saleny228950
WFeb 20 · 19:30R. Urbaniec331111113P. Saleny112720
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl1.6791112121R. Urbaniec2.1011514143WSep 22 · 02:58R. Urbaniec1.6113191011113O. Svacha2.20112112662LSep 22 · 01:30R. Urbaniec2.5011691162J. Kycelt1.50511115113WSep 22 · 24:30O. Svacha2.101111651R. Urbaniec1.6713511113LSep 21 · 23:30M. Huk1.619121112113R. Urbaniec2.20111051482WSep 21 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.001111153M. Wagner1.7358130WSep 19 · 21:29R. Urbaniec1.731211113O. Svacha2.0010620WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133WSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570
P. Saleny10
LSep 22 · 19:00P. Saleny1.838111191O. Cmerda1.8311138113WSep 22 · 16:58P. Saleny3.251211133V. Nohejl1.33104110LSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960WSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113LSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113WSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550WSep 19 · 10:30P. Saleny2.0091111113O. Cmerda1.73116871LSep 19 · 08:59O. Cmerda1.731111113P. Saleny2.009970
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 22 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.91O. Cmerda1.80—Sep 23 · 06:00R. Urbaniec2.75A. Barton1.40—Sep 23 · 07:30R. Urbaniec2.38J. Simecek1.53—Sep 23 · 08:00R. Urbaniec1.80M. Wagner1.91—Sep 23 · 10:30R. Urbaniec2.38J. Simecek1.53—Sep 23 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.80M. Wagner1.91—Sep 23 · 12:30R. Urbaniec1.67O. Svacha2.10—
P. Saleny
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