TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Nohejl 2005 vs Petr Saleny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412119116––––
Petr Saleny
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Petr Saleny below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 63 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 70.4%
63 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 13–5 Petr Saleny Petr Saleny has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Nohejl
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1719 vs Saleny 1709
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Saleny 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 50% vs Saleny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -2 · Saleny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.36 / Saleny 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Nohejl)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13170002
Nohejl1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 62 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Saleny3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl10wins
AwaySaleny0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl100%8 of 8
AwaySalenyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl8Saleny2n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S2Nohejl8Saleny2n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S3Nohejl10Saleny0n = 10Nohejl took 10 of 10
S4Nohejl3Saleny1n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlSalenyN − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.426.1+13.3per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlSalenyBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 313 vs 205 / 40154.6%51.1%171 / 313 vs 205 / 401Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.36/Saleny 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 5 · 10:30V. Nohejl361411113P. Saleny2412390
WJul 5 · 09:00V. Nohejl46121211113P. Saleny301014331
WJul 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl331111113P. Saleny132650
WJul 4 · 11:00V. Nohejl401811113P. Saleny3016590
WApr 30 · 16:00V. Nohejl331111113P. Saleny125340
WApr 27 · 20:00V. Nohejl331111113P. Saleny133820
WApr 23 · 17:28V. Nohejl536111312113P. Saleny50116111482
WApr 23 · 15:00V. Nohejl4312911113P. Saleny331011751
WApr 6 · 14:00V. Nohejl43101111113P. Saleny34127961
WApr 4 · 12:00V. Nohejl341112113P. Saleny2261060
V. Nohejl10
LSep 22 · 15:30V. Kolar2.2571113113V. Nohejl1.571141131LSep 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl2.756630M. Pikous1.401111113WSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143WSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113WSep 18 · 14:30V. Nohejl2.751391211113O. Cmerda1.40151110582LSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112WSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113LSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192LSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113
P. Saleny10
WSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113LSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113WSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550WSep 19 · 10:30P. Saleny2.0091111113O. Cmerda1.73116871LSep 19 · 08:59O. Cmerda1.731111113P. Saleny2.009970LSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113LSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113
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