TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Saleny vs Vaclav Nohejl 2005 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Petr Saleny
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101141311––––
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11
61 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 5–14 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Petr Saleny has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Nohejl beat Saleny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 3.25 / Nohejl 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13179643
Saleny3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Nohejl1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 62 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it78% 46 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaleny0wins
AwayNohejl10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNohejl leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalenyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNohejl100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny2Nohejl8n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S2Saleny2Nohejl8n = 10Nohejl took 8 of 10
S3Saleny0Nohejl10n = 10Nohejl took 10 of 10
S4Saleny1Nohejl3n = 4Nohejl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricSalenyNohejlS − NBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.639.6−13.0per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 402 vs 172 / 31451%54.8%205 / 402 vs 172 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlSaleny 3.25/Nohejl 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.3%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Saleny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 16:00P. Saleny2712960V. Nohejl361411113
LJul 5 · 10:30P. Saleny2412390V. Nohejl361411113
LJul 5 · 09:00P. Saleny301014331V. Nohejl46121211113
LJul 5 · 08:00P. Saleny132650V. Nohejl331111113
LJul 4 · 11:00P. Saleny3016590V. Nohejl401811113
LApr 30 · 16:00P. Saleny125340V. Nohejl331111113
LApr 27 · 20:00P. Saleny133820V. Nohejl331111113
LApr 23 · 17:28P. Saleny50116111482V. Nohejl536111312113
LApr 23 · 15:00P. Saleny331011751V. Nohejl4312911113
LApr 6 · 14:00P. Saleny34127961V. Nohejl43101111113
P. Saleny10
LSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960WSep 22 · 15:00M. Pikous2.2046131162P. Saleny1.611111119113LSep 22 · 14:30P. Saleny2.0011661132V. Kolar1.73611114113WSep 19 · 12:58M. Wagner1.5349100P. Saleny2.381111123LSep 19 · 12:00M. Wagner1.531811133P. Saleny2.38163110LSep 19 · 11:00F. Pusch1.831411113P. Saleny1.8312550WSep 19 · 10:30P. Saleny2.0091111113O. Cmerda1.73116871LSep 19 · 08:59O. Cmerda1.731111113P. Saleny2.009970LSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 22 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.361411113P. Saleny3.0012960LSep 22 · 15:30V. Kolar2.2571113113V. Nohejl1.571141131LSep 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl2.756630M. Pikous1.401111113WSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143WSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113WSep 18 · 14:30V. Nohejl2.751391211113O. Cmerda1.40151110582LSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112WSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113LSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192
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