TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Niemiec vs Piotr Przewlocki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Rafal Niemiec
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151412611119––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:15 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeRafal Niemiec to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Niemiec above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Rafal Niemiec at 56.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Niemiec 2–8 Piotr Przewlocki Rafal Niemiec has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Niemiec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Niemiec 1373 vs Przewlocki 1375
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Niemiec 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Niemiec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Niemiec 60% vs Przewlocki 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Niemiec -1 · Przewlocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Niemiec) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNiemiec 1.61 / Przewlocki 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Niemiec)+0.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13169772
Niemiec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 106 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it95% 53 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Przewlocki2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 345
Down 0–1, comes back23% 48 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNiemiec2wins
AwayPrzewlocki8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNiemiec16.7%1 of 6
AwayPrzewlocki75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Niemiec6Przewlocki4n = 10Niemiec took 6 of 10
S2Niemiec3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Niemiec5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Niemiec3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S5Niemiec2Przewlocki5n = 7Przewlocki took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNiemiecPrzewlockiN − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match46.446.7−0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNiemiecPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 266 vs 520 / 108960.9%47.8%162 / 266 vs 520 / 1089Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NiemiecNiemiec 1.61/Przewlocki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Niemiec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Niemiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 13:30R. Niemiec398111191P. Przewlocki3911134113
WSep 7 · 07:20R. Niemiec47911115113P. Przewlocki4511961182
LAug 26 · 12:40R. Niemiec4889111192P. Przewlocki44111165113
LAug 26 · 06:30R. Niemiec53119912122P. Przewlocki559111110143
LAug 5 · 13:05R. Niemiec47111110872P. Przewlocki47761211113
LAug 5 · 06:55R. Niemiec39139981P. Przewlocki44111111113
LJul 3 · 15:55R. Niemiec531110139102P. Przewlocki537121111123
WJul 3 · 09:55R. Niemiec551110911143P. Przewlocki49712117122
LJun 22 · 10:35R. Niemiec4812911792P. Przewlocki481011511113
LJun 22 · 03:00R. Niemiec35812781P. Przewlocki43111011113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 22 · 06:30O. Jadach1.611111113R. Niemiec2.208570WSep 22 · 05:40M. Skuril1.91861491R. Niemiec1.80111112113WSep 22 · 04:55R. Niemiec1.911181311113W. Urban1.80131111882WSep 22 · 03:50R. Niemiec2.10117119123P. Brozek1.67611711102LSep 7 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.53119911113R. Niemiec2.3871111982LSep 7 · 13:30P. Przewlocki1.7311134113R. Niemiec2.008111191WSep 7 · 11:25W. Urban1.6795111182R. Niemiec2.10111165113WSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek1.806111051R. Niemiec1.9111412113LSep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91111575113R. Niemiec1.80913111192
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 22 · 09:00P. Brozek1.6112711113P. Przewlocki2.201011971WSep 22 · 07:20W. Urban1.618914111P. Przewlocki2.20111112133LSep 22 · 05:15O. Jadach1.731111117113P. Przewlocki2.0013651142LSep 22 · 04:30P. Brozek1.6771111113P. Przewlocki2.10115961LSep 22 · 03:00M. Skuril2.0011119113P. Przewlocki1.73661151WSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113WSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113LSep 21 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.6111101111113P. Przewlocki2.2081213732LSep 21 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski1.44111111113P. Przewlocki2.63813481WSep 7 · 13:30P. Przewlocki1.7311134113R. Niemiec2.008111191
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