TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Skuril vs Piotr Przewlocki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116116911115––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Skuril above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Michal Skuril 0–2 Piotr Przewlocki Michal Skuril has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 18h before this match
Przewlocki beat Skuril 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1289 vs Przewlocki 1355
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 20% vs Przewlocki 60%
Przewlocki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 20% vs Przewlocki 50%
Przewlocki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril -2 · Przewlocki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skuril form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 2.00 / Przewlocki 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13169324
Skuril2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Przewlocki1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 128 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 82 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkuril0wins
AwayPrzewlocki2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkurilPrzewlockiS − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match39.044.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 51 vs 519 / 108543.1%47.8%22 / 51 vs 519 / 1085Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiSkuril 2.00/Przewlocki 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skuril won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril4369111162P. Przewlocki46111194113
LSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril356117111P. Przewlocki4211711133
M. Skuril10
LSep 21 · 15:45M. Skuril2.20116881P. Gumulinski1.6181111113LSep 21 · 14:40M. Skuril2.50116881P. Gumulinski1.5081111113WSep 21 · 13:05M. Skuril1.911111123R. Idaczyk1.8098100LSep 21 · 11:50M. Skuril2.108111061J. Pelka1.6711512113LSep 21 · 10:10M. Skuril2.50931171J. Pruszkowski1.5011119113LSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172WSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril2.2011123482P. Gumulinski1.615101111113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 21 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90991191P. Przewlocki1.7511112113WSep 21 · 14:20J. Pelka2.10991191P. Przewlocki1.6711112113LSep 21 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.6111101111113P. Przewlocki2.2081213732LSep 21 · 11:25J. Pruszkowski1.44111111113P. Przewlocki2.63813481WSep 21 · 10:35R. Idaczyk2.0091112131P. Przewlocki1.7311914153WSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 08:10J. Pelka1.7311911133P. Przewlocki2.003116111LSep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.53111118113P. Przewlocki2.388131671LSep 21 · 05:15J. Pruszkowski1.61117116113P. Przewlocki2.2091161172WSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133
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