TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111912141315––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Idaczyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 94 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Rafal Idaczyk at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 9–6 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:52What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Idaczyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1359 vs Przewlocki 1368
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 20% vs Przewlocki 40%
Przewlocki
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 50% vs Przewlocki 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +1 · Przewlocki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.00 / Przewlocki 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13164833
Idaczyk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back16% 25 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 107
Przewlocki1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 128 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 82 of 109
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk6wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk100%4 of 4
AwayPrzewlocki66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Idaczyk4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Idaczyk5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Idaczyk4Przewlocki2n = 6Idaczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykPrzewlockiI − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.836.0−0.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 943 vs 519 / 108849.8%47.7%470 / 943 vs 519 / 1088Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiIdaczyk 2.00/Przewlocki 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk47711125123P. Przewlocki481161011102
WSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk371111153P. Przewlocki2759130
LSep 8 · 04:10R. Idaczyk165650P. Przewlocki331111113
WJun 18 · 08:45R. Idaczyk4811119173P. Przewlocki419611151
LMar 18 · 08:10R. Idaczyk227960P. Przewlocki331111113
LDec 16 · 09:00R. Idaczyk259790P. Przewlocki331111113
WNov 18 · 09:00R. Idaczyk4211911113P. Przewlocki33511891
WSep 27 · 08:00R. Idaczyk49881111113P. Przewlocki4211118392
LSep 7 · 04:00R. Idaczyk339311101P. Przewlocki4011116123
WAug 27 · 01:35R. Idaczyk3911116113P. Przewlocki30971131
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 21 · 09:50J. Pelka2.2013101181R. Idaczyk1.6115126113LSep 21 · 08:35R. Idaczyk2.1011119692P. Gumulinski1.67781111113LSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 05:40R. Idaczyk1.83810190J. Pelka1.831112213LSep 21 · 04:10R. Idaczyk3.001071181J. Pruszkowski1.3612116113WSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk1.83711125123P. Przewlocki1.831161011102LSep 15 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.1514914113R. Idaczyk1.6012111291WSep 15 · 07:10W. Urban1.86961241R. Idaczyk1.83111110113WSep 15 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.61151311173J. Nowak2.1513155151WSep 15 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.491113113J. Kaczmarek2.3431160
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 08:10J. Pelka1.7311911133P. Przewlocki2.003116111LSep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.61111118113P. Przewlocki2.208131671WSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133LSep 21 · 03:00R. Idaczyk1.83711125123P. Przewlocki1.831161011102WSep 16 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.20111213113W. Urban1.616141181WSep 16 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.28891114113I. Szymanski3.50111141292WSep 16 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.9111411113K. Adamus1.80911661LSep 16 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.80101150R. Gajda1.911213113LSep 16 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.75771171P. Gumulinski1.4011118113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.