TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Skuril
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611811811––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.61
At publish
Won last 11Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 11
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
118611811811––
H2H Michal Skuril 0–2 Piotr Gumulinski Michal Skuril has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Gumulinski beat Skuril 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skuril 1294 vs Gumulinski 1568
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 275 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skuril 20% vs Gumulinski 100%
Gumulinski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skuril 20% vs Gumulinski 100%
Gumulinski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skuril -1 · Gumulinski +11
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Gumulinski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkuril 2.20 / Gumulinski 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Gumulinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13171044
Skuril2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back30% 3 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Gumulinski1.61
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 11
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 355 of 579
Up 2–0, closes it94% 161 of 171
Up 1–0, closes it76% 240 of 315
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkuril0wins
AwayGumulinski2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderGumulinski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkurilGumulinskiS − GBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.544.5−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkurilGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 50 vs 1033 / 182744%56.5%22 / 50 vs 1033 / 1827Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSkuril 2.20/Gumulinski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 21 · 14:40M. Skuril33116881P. Gumulinski4181111113
LSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril3811123482P. Gumulinski485101111113
M. Skuril10
LSep 21 · 14:40M. Skuril2.50116881P. Gumulinski1.5081111113WSep 21 · 13:05M. Skuril1.911111123R. Idaczyk1.8098100LSep 21 · 11:50M. Skuril2.108111061J. Pelka1.6711512113LSep 21 · 10:10M. Skuril2.50931171J. Pruszkowski1.5011119113LSep 21 · 09:00M. Skuril1.9069111162P. Przewlocki1.82111194113LSep 21 · 07:45J. Pruszkowski1.44117115113M. Skuril2.6381131172WSep 21 · 06:55R. Idaczyk1.9158111162M. Skuril1.80111197113LSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril2.2011123482P. Gumulinski1.615101111113LSep 21 · 04:30M. Skuril1.806117111P. Przewlocki1.9111711133LSep 21 · 03:50J. Pelka1.9181111133M. Skuril1.801184111
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 21 · 14:40M. Skuril2.50116881P. Gumulinski1.5081111113WSep 21 · 13:30P. Gumulinski1.6111101111113P. Przewlocki2.2081213732WSep 21 · 12:15R. Idaczyk2.007970P. Gumulinski1.731111113LSep 21 · 11:00J. Pelka1.8361P. Gumulinski1.8350WSep 21 · 09:25J. Pruszkowski1.67111070P. Gumulinski2.101312113WSep 21 · 08:35R. Idaczyk2.1011119692P. Gumulinski1.67781111113WSep 21 · 07:20P. Gumulinski1.53111118113P. Przewlocki2.388131671WSep 21 · 06:05M. Skuril2.2011123482P. Gumulinski1.615101111113WSep 21 · 04:55J. Pelka1.8311914462P. Gumulinski1.838111211113WSep 21 · 03:25J. Pruszkowski1.6711771182P. Gumulinski2.10911118113
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