TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Sychra vs Martin Skakal 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117119411118––
Martin Skakal
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Martin Skakal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 6–8 Martin Skakal Martin Sychra has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Skakal
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1649 vs Skakal 1663
Skakal
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 80% vs Skakal 40%
Sychra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 60% vs Skakal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra +1 · Skakal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skakal) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skakal form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.80 / Skakal 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skakal)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169602
Sychra1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 219 of 375
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 190
Skakal1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back12% 2 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra4wins
AwaySkakal6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkakal leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra80%4 of 5
AwaySkakal100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra5Skakal5n = 10split evenly
S2Sychra5Skakal5n = 10split evenly
S3Sychra7Skakal3n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S4Sychra2Skakal3n = 5Skakal took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraSkakalSychra − SkakalBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.737.2−0.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraSkakalBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1519 vs 78 / 15252.6%51.3%799 / 1519 vs 78 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkakalSychra 1.80/Skakal 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skakal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra361114113M. Skakal2561270
LAug 20 · 02:58M. Sychra4598111162M. Skakal50111189113
WAug 20 · 24:30M. Sychra341111123M. Skakal2697100
LAug 11 · 23:30M. Sychra236890M. Skakal331111113
WAug 5 · 01:30M. Sychra341111123M. Skakal2486100
LMay 24 · 01:30M. Sychra311011461M. Skakal4312911113
LMay 23 · 21:30M. Sychra33671551M. Skakal46111113113
LMay 23 · 18:30M. Sychra511110911102M. Skakal50912116123
WMay 19 · 01:30M. Sychra411116143M. Skakal34814120
LMay 10 · 23:30M. Sychra391091191M. Skakal4112117113
M. Sychra10
WSep 22 · 19:00S. Kasnik2.0011841182M. Sychra1.73911119113WSep 21 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8511111281M. Sychra1.8513714113LSep 21 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.833111210113M. Sychra1.83116101252WSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113WSep 21 · 10:30M. Sychra1.80111110113S. Kasnik1.91881291WSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik1.91116841M. Sychra1.8091111113WSep 21 · 08:30M. Sychra1.83511811113S. Kasnik1.8311211472LSep 21 · 07:00M. Sychra1.919590V. Vejvoda1.801111113LSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131WSep 19 · 03:30J. Hradecky2.201110981M. Sychra1.6091211113
M. Skakal10
WSep 22 · 19:30M. Skakal1.83111156113M. Vondrak1.8395111162WSep 18 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.577960M. Skakal2.251111113LSep 18 · 02:30M. Regner2.20124118113M. Skakal1.61101191162LSep 18 · 01:00M. Klement1.83118127113M. Skakal1.83811101162WSep 17 · 23:30M. Skakal2.5011211113V. Vejvoda1.50411881LSep 17 · 22:00M. Skakal1.806111141T. Franek1.9111137113WSep 10 · 03:29J. Tazler2.10811751M. Skakal1.6711611113LSep 10 · 02:00M. Skakal1.57111179102M. Regner2.25661111123WSep 10 · 01:00M. Skakal2.0011115113M. Pikous1.73791161LSep 10 · 24:00M. Sychra1.801114113M. Skakal1.9161270
Upcoming Matches
M. Sychra
Sep 22 · 20:00M. Sychra1.91M. Vondrak1.80—Sep 22 · 22:30M. Sychra2.00M. Regner1.73—Sep 23 · 24:00M. Sychra1.80M. Skakal1.91—Sep 23 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57M. Klement2.25—Sep 23 · 02:00M. Sychra2.00V. Vejvoda1.73—Sep 23 · 22:00M. Sychra1.67R. Wagner2.10—Sep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.10T. Franek1.67—Sep 24 · 24:30M. Sychra2.00J. Tazler1.73—Sep 24 · 02:00M. Sychra1.73S. Kasnik2.00—
M. Skakal
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