TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Sychra
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511112811114117
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Sychra above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 81 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Martin Sychra 18–17 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kasnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-17 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sychra 1623 vs Kasnik 1552
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sychra 40% vs Kasnik 20%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sychra 40% vs Kasnik 20%
Sychra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sychra -2 · Kasnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSychra 1.83 / Kasnik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sychra)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13165599
Sychra1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kasnik1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSychra5wins
AwayKasnik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSychra66.7%2 of 3
AwayKasnik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sychra3Kasnik7n = 10Kasnik took 7 of 10
S2Sychra6Kasnik4n = 10Sychra took 6 of 10
S3Sychra4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Sychra5Kasnik3n = 8Sychra took 5 of 8
S5Sychra2Kasnik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSychraKasnikS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.038.9+0.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSychraKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1526 vs 465 / 98752.4%47.1%799 / 1526 vs 465 / 987Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraSychra 1.83/Kasnik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 08:30M. Sychra46511811113S. Kasnik3511211472
WSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra4171111123S. Kasnik311155101
WSep 12 · 11:00M. Sychra4311119123S. Kasnik388911101
WSep 12 · 06:30M. Sychra4111811113S. Kasnik29911451
LSep 11 · 24:00M. Sychra35116991S. Kasnik4181111113
LSep 8 · 07:00M. Sychra4791111882S. Kasnik41112611113
LSep 1 · 22:30M. Sychra183960S. Kasnik331111113
WAug 26 · 12:30M. Sychra534111314113S. Kasnik55119111682
LAug 26 · 09:29M. Sychra248880S. Kasnik331111113
LAug 26 · 08:30M. Sychra4221391172S. Kasnik531111119113
M. Sychra10
WSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik1.91116841M. Sychra1.8091111113LSep 21 · 07:00M. Sychra1.919590V. Vejvoda1.801111113LSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131WSep 19 · 03:30J. Hradecky2.201110981M. Sychra1.6091211113LSep 19 · 02:30M. Sychra1.40961171J. Hradecky2.7511115113WSep 19 · 01:30J. Holubec1.807111081M. Sychra1.9111312113WSep 19 · 24:00M. Sychra1.441111113P. Pycha2.636950LSep 18 · 23:00D. Tuma2.7561111113M. Sychra1.40119991LSep 17 · 17:29V. Vejvoda1.80115711143M. Sychra1.91611119122WSep 17 · 16:30M. Klement2.0091112762M. Sychra1.731141011113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik1.91116841M. Sychra1.8091111113LSep 21 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.63311451O. Svacha1.4411911113WSep 21 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.67511101182S. Kasnik2.10113123113LSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540LSep 13 · 24:00S. Kasnik2.20114981R. Wagner1.6151111113WSep 12 · 23:00M. Regner2.38186571S. Kasnik1.53161111113LSep 12 · 13:01M. Sychra1.8571111123S. Kasnik1.851155101LSep 12 · 12:30S. Kasnik2.6311840P. Saleny1.441311113LSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik1.738911101M. Sychra2.0011119123
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