TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Sebastian Kasnik vs Martin Sychra 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 22Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811411119811
Martin Sychra
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Sychra to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Martin Sychra below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Martin Sychra at 54.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 17–20 Martin Sychra Sebastian Kasnik has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sychra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-20 in 37
Sychra
Correct
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kasnik 1564 vs Sychra 1661
Sychra
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kasnik 40% vs Sychra 80%
Sychra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kasnik 40% vs Sychra 70%
Sychra
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kasnik +1 · Sychra +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sychra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sychra form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 2.00 / Sychra 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Sychra)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169956
Kasnik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 114 of 288
Down 0–1, comes back20% 31 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 88
Sychra1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 219 of 375
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it80% 151 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik3wins
AwaySychra7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSychra leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik33.3%2 of 6
AwaySychra75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik6Sychra4n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Kasnik3Sychra7n = 10Sychra took 7 of 10
S3Kasnik5Sychra5n = 10split evenly
S4Kasnik3Sychra6n = 9Sychra took 6 of 9
S5Kasnik1Sychra2n = 3Sychra took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikSychraK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.940.9−4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikSychraBasisWin rate · lifetime469 / 997 vs 799 / 151947%52.6%469 / 997 vs 799 / 1519Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SychraKasnik 2.00/Sychra 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.5%
Sychra · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sychra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 10:30S. Kasnik37881291M. Sychra43111110113
LSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik29116841M. Sychra4291111113
LSep 21 · 08:30S. Kasnik3511211472M. Sychra46511811113
LSep 12 · 13:01S. Kasnik311155101M. Sychra4171111123
LSep 12 · 11:00S. Kasnik388911101M. Sychra4311119123
LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kasnik29911451M. Sychra4111811113
WSep 11 · 24:00S. Kasnik4181111113M. Sychra35116991
WSep 8 · 07:00S. Kasnik41112611113M. Sychra4791111882
WSep 1 · 22:30S. Kasnik331111113M. Sychra183960
LAug 26 · 12:30S. Kasnik55119111682M. Sychra534111314113
S. Kasnik10
WSep 22 · 18:00M. Vondrak2.38911131152S. Kasnik1.53116158113LSep 22 · 09:04S. Kasnik2.5011841192J. Zuzanek1.50411116113LSep 22 · 08:30J. Louda1.7311114113S. Kasnik2.00651151LSep 22 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.38791291J. Zuzanek1.53111110113WSep 22 · 06:30R. Wagner1.536111171S. Kasnik2.3811713113WSep 21 · 12:58S. Kasnik1.50111177113M. Regner2.5086111192WSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2511491142J. Zuzanek1.57811114113LSep 21 · 10:30M. Sychra1.80111110113S. Kasnik1.91881291LSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik1.91116841M. Sychra1.8091111113
M. Sychra10
WSep 22 · 18:30M. Sychra1.8011114113M. Skakal1.91791181WSep 21 · 13:30J. Zuzanek1.8511111281M. Sychra1.8513714113LSep 21 · 12:00J. Zuzanek1.833111210113M. Sychra1.83116101252WSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113WSep 21 · 10:30M. Sychra1.80111110113S. Kasnik1.91881291WSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik1.91116841M. Sychra1.8091111113WSep 21 · 08:30M. Sychra1.83511811113S. Kasnik1.8311211472LSep 21 · 07:00M. Sychra1.919590V. Vejvoda1.801111113LSep 21 · 06:00O. Svacha1.2511117113M. Sychra3.75891131WSep 19 · 03:30J. Hradecky2.201110981M. Sychra1.6091211113
Upcoming Matches
S. Kasnik
Sep 22 · 20:30S. Kasnik1.73M. Skakal2.00—Sep 23 · 18:00S. Kasnik2.50M. Bittner1.50—Sep 23 · 19:30S. Kasnik2.25M. Pikous1.57—Sep 23 · 20:00S. Kasnik1.91D. Hofman1.80—Sep 23 · 22:30S. Kasnik1.67J. Tazler2.10—Sep 24 · 24:00S. Kasnik1.57T. Franek2.25—Sep 24 · 01:00S. Kasnik2.20R. Wagner1.61—Sep 24 · 02:00S. Kasnik2.00M. Sychra1.73—
M. Sychra
Sep 22 · 20:00M. Sychra1.91M. Vondrak1.80—Sep 22 · 22:30M. Sychra2.00M. Regner1.73—Sep 23 · 24:00M. Sychra1.80M. Skakal1.91—Sep 23 · 01:00M. Sychra1.57M. Klement2.25—Sep 23 · 02:00M. Sychra2.00V. Vejvoda1.73—Sep 23 · 22:00M. Sychra1.67R. Wagner2.10—Sep 23 · 23:00M. Sychra2.10T. Franek1.67—Sep 24 · 24:30M. Sychra2.00J. Tazler1.73—Sep 24 · 02:00M. Sychra1.73S. Kasnik2.00—
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