TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Sebastian Kasnik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118116711711119
Michal Regner
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingSebastian Kasnik above · Michal Regner below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Sebastian Kasnik 34–15 Michal Regner Michal Regner has won 15 of their 49 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kasnik beat Regner 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kasnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKasnik 1.50 / Regner 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Regner)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13169755
Kasnik1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 96 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it72% 78 of 108
Regner2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 113 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back25% 29 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKasnik7wins
AwayRegner3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasnik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKasnik80%4 of 5
AwayRegner40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kasnik5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S2Kasnik4Regner6n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S3Kasnik8Regner2n = 10Kasnik took 8 of 10
S4Kasnik5Regner2n = 7Kasnik took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKasnikRegnerK − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.034.6+3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKasnikRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 991 vs 513 / 105847%48.5%466 / 991 vs 513 / 1058Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KasnikKasnik 1.50/Regner 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Kasnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 12:30S. Kasnik4111811113M. Regner33811771
WSep 12 · 23:00S. Kasnik49161111113M. Regner36186571
LSep 12 · 10:00S. Kasnik216690M. Regner331111113
WSep 11 · 03:30S. Kasnik4011711113M. Regner35811881
WSep 11 · 01:30S. Kasnik331111113M. Regner219390
LSep 8 · 11:00S. Kasnik48118115132M. Regner52911611153
LSep 3 · 07:30S. Kasnik188460M. Regner331111113
WAug 26 · 13:03S. Kasnik51119119113M. Regner4481171172
WAug 26 · 10:00S. Kasnik3961111113M. Regner31117761
WJun 21 · 06:00S. Kasnik4071111113M. Regner28116471
S. Kasnik10
WSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2511491142J. Zuzanek1.57811114113LSep 21 · 10:30M. Sychra1.80111110113S. Kasnik1.91881291LSep 21 · 08:58S. Kasnik1.91116841M. Sychra1.8091111113LSep 21 · 08:30M. Sychra1.83511811113S. Kasnik1.8311211472LSep 21 · 07:30S. Kasnik2.63311451O. Svacha1.4411911113WSep 21 · 06:30V. Vejvoda1.67511101182S. Kasnik2.10113123113LSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540LSep 13 · 24:00S. Kasnik2.20114981R. Wagner1.6151111113
M. Regner10
LSep 21 · 12:30M. Regner2.38811771S. Kasnik1.5311811113LSep 21 · 11:00M. Regner1.7311591152M. Sychra2.00911117113LSep 21 · 10:00J. Zuzanek1.831111113M. Regner1.838940WSep 20 · 08:59M. Regner1.571111113M. Chlebecek2.257680LSep 20 · 08:30M. Regner1.8013470J. Holubec1.911511113WSep 20 · 07:00M. Regner1.731111113M. Chlebecek2.006780LSep 20 · 06:00M. Nohejl2.201011117113M. Regner1.6112461132WSep 19 · 09:30M. Regner2.1511119113M. Vondrak1.62531161WSep 19 · 08:30J. Zuzanek1.8388111242M. Regner1.831111610113WSep 19 · 07:30M. Regner2.25111114113V. Vejvoda1.57841681
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