TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Volodymyr Savoliuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1159117111210112
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Savoliuk to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Savoliuk above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 89 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Volodymyr Savoliuk at 73.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Savoliuk 13–4 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Savoliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Savoliuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Savoliuk 1702 vs Hrytsenko 1606
Savoliuk
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Savoliuk 60% vs Hrytsenko 0%
Savoliuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Savoliuk 60% vs Hrytsenko 20%
Savoliuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Savoliuk -1 · Hrytsenko -6
Hrytsenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Savoliuk) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSavoliuk 1.33 / Hrytsenko 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Savoliuk)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166412
Savoliuk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 123 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it93% 62 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it83% 88 of 106
Hrytsenko3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSavoliuk8wins
AwayHrytsenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSavoliuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSavoliuk85.7%6 of 7
AwayHrytsenko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Savoliuk7Hrytsenko3n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10
S2Savoliuk6Hrytsenko4n = 10Savoliuk took 6 of 10
S3Savoliuk7Hrytsenko3n = 10Savoliuk took 7 of 10
S4Savoliuk5Hrytsenko0n = 5Savoliuk took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSavoliukHrytsenkoS − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.728.5+8.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSavoliukHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 531 vs 316 / 64056.5%49.4%300 / 531 vs 316 / 640Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SavoliukSavoliuk 1.33/Hrytsenko 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Savoliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Savoliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 12:00V. Savoliuk3961111113E. Hrytsenko23117321
WAug 31 · 16:00V. Savoliuk331111113E. Hrytsenko155730
WAug 28 · 08:50V. Savoliuk341211113E. Hrytsenko2310940
LAug 25 · 10:50V. Savoliuk4611871192E. Hrytsenko43711113113
WAug 24 · 18:00V. Savoliuk4011611123E. Hrytsenko388119101
WAug 11 · 12:50V. Savoliuk331111113E. Hrytsenko217860
WAug 10 · 17:00V. Savoliuk3851111113E. Hrytsenko31117761
LJul 20 · 15:00V. Savoliuk259880E. Hrytsenko331111113
WMay 19 · 07:20V. Savoliuk46117611113E. Hrytsenko4061111662
WMay 18 · 21:50V. Savoliuk331111113E. Hrytsenko187650
V. Savoliuk10
LSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780WSep 21 · 13:30V. Maksuta2.20991251V. Savoliuk1.61111110113LSep 21 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.101112133V. Savoliuk1.67910110WSep 15 · 12:20A. Derevianko2.209680V. Savoliuk1.611111113WSep 15 · 11:20I. Nitchenko2.506440V. Savoliuk1.501111113LSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.7511114113V. Savoliuk1.40471191WSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 12 · 12:20V. Savoliuk1.4411411113O. Strutinskiy2.63611631WSep 12 · 10:20A. Zozulia4.007950V. Savoliuk1.221111113
E. Hrytsenko10
WSep 21 · 18:30M. Mrykh1.534101181E. Hrytsenko2.3811129113LSep 21 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.361111113E. Hrytsenko3.005780LSep 21 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.501211113E. Hrytsenko2.5010780LSep 21 · 12:00V. Maksuta1.9111115113E. Hrytsenko1.80581181LSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 17:30M. Deineha1.441111193E. Hrytsenko2.6399170LSep 18 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.4011611113E. Hrytsenko2.75211891WSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113WSep 18 · 12:00I. Nitchenko2.00811111762E. Hrytsenko1.73118619113LSep 14 · 19:00A. Derevianko1.6711126123E. Hrytsenko2.1041011101
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