TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Maksym Mrykh
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111012119811––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 61.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 9–7 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mrykh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Mrykh
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1687 vs Hrytsenko 1599
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 80% vs Hrytsenko 0%
Mrykh
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Hrytsenko 20%
Mrykh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh +4 · Hrytsenko -7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Mrykh) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 1.53 / Hrytsenko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Mrykh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166633
Mrykh1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Hrytsenko2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh6wins
AwayHrytsenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh75%3 of 4
AwayHrytsenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh4Hrytsenko6n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh8Hrytsenko2n = 10Mrykh took 8 of 10
S3Mrykh7Hrytsenko3n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S4Mrykh4Hrytsenko2n = 6Mrykh took 4 of 6
S5Mrykh1Hrytsenko3n = 4Hrytsenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhHrytsenkoM − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.3−0.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 462 vs 316 / 64146.8%49.3%216 / 462 vs 316 / 641Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhMrykh 1.53/Hrytsenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh4051112123E. Hrytsenko3811710101
LSep 8 · 08:20M. Mrykh226790E. Hrytsenko331111113
LSep 7 · 15:00M. Mrykh4171181142E. Hrytsenko47117117113
WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko239860
LAug 18 · 10:50M. Mrykh4211114882E. Hrytsenko48781111113
WJul 19 · 08:00M. Mrykh451111111113E. Hrytsenko4813891172
WJul 14 · 10:40M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko247890
WJul 9 · 13:10M. Mrykh3631111113E. Hrytsenko31116951
LJul 8 · 16:40M. Mrykh3632111282E. Hrytsenko521111910113
WJul 2 · 14:10M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko195590
M. Mrykh10
WSep 21 · 16:30V. Maksuta1.44781111102M. Mrykh2.63111179123WSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780WSep 21 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.836860M. Mrykh1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:00M. Mrykh1.83131194133O. Strutinskiy1.831191111112LSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840LSep 14 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.20117991A. Derevianko1.6171111113LSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123LSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113WSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101WSep 12 · 11:50A. Zozulia1.91711120M. Mrykh1.801113143
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 21 · 17:30V. Savoliuk1.33119712113E. Hrytsenko3.25511111022LSep 21 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.361111113E. Hrytsenko3.005780LSep 21 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.501211113E. Hrytsenko2.5010780LSep 21 · 12:00V. Maksuta1.9111115113E. Hrytsenko1.80581181LSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 17:30M. Deineha1.441111193E. Hrytsenko2.6399170LSep 18 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.4011611113E. Hrytsenko2.75211891WSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113WSep 18 · 12:00I. Nitchenko2.00811111762E. Hrytsenko1.73118619113LSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.