TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148393
Played Sep 18Finished
Maksym Deineha
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191917––––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Deineha above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 19-17
Point 76 set 3, 19-17 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 66.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Deineha 4–2 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Deineha
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Deineha 1756 vs Hrytsenko 1663
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Deineha 60% vs Hrytsenko 40%
Deineha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Deineha 60% vs Hrytsenko 30%
Deineha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Deineha -1 · Hrytsenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDeineha 1.44 / Hrytsenko 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Deineha)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148393
Deineha1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 24 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Hrytsenko2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeDeineha4wins
AwayHrytsenko2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderDeineha leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDeineha75%3 of 4
AwayHrytsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Deineha4Hrytsenko2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S2Deineha4Hrytsenko2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S3Deineha4Hrytsenko2n = 6Deineha took 4 of 6
S4Deineha2Hrytsenko3n = 5Hrytsenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricDeinehaHrytsenkoD − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match41.339.5+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDeinehaHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 78 vs 317 / 63960.3%49.6%47 / 78 vs 317 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaDeineha 1.44/Hrytsenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha4071111113E. Hrytsenko35119691
WSep 3 · 17:00M. Deineha4411148113E. Hrytsenko315121131
LAug 24 · 13:30M. Deineha491110111072E. Hrytsenko51712912113
LAug 21 · 10:20M. Deineha365612131E. Hrytsenko47111110153
WAug 10 · 14:30M. Deineha331111113E. Hrytsenko279990
WJul 29 · 14:10M. Deineha46111176113E. Hrytsenko4699111162
M. Deineha10
LSep 18 · 15:30A. Derevianko2.00117811123M. Deineha1.73611114102WSep 18 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.75631191M. Deineha1.4011118113WSep 18 · 12:30A. Nazarov2.001011781M. Deineha1.7312811113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782LSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992WSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha1.5371111113E. Hrytsenko2.38119691WSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113LSep 14 · 13:00M. Deineha1.807111251A. Derevianko1.91111310113LSep 11 · 12:20M. Deineha1.67113101162O. Strutinskiy2.10811126113WSep 11 · 09:20M. Deineha1.4416413113I. Nitchenko2.6314111161
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.4011611113E. Hrytsenko2.75211891WSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113WSep 18 · 12:00I. Nitchenko2.00811111762E. Hrytsenko1.73118619113LSep 14 · 19:00A. Derevianko1.6711126123E. Hrytsenko2.1041011101LSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113LSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha1.5371111113E. Hrytsenko2.38119691LSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101LSep 8 · 11:50A. Derevianko1.731111133E. Hrytsenko2.0065110
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