TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148363
Played Sep 18Finished
Anatolii Nazarov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118711811––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatolii Nazarov above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 55.6%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anatolii Nazarov 1–0 Maksym Deineha Maksym Deineha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nazarov 1658 vs Deineha 1733
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazarov 40% vs Deineha 60%
Deineha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazarov 50% vs Deineha 70%
Deineha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazarov -1 · Deineha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazarov 2.00 / Deineha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13148363
Nazarov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 41 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back24% 19 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Deineha1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 24 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNazarov1wins
AwayDeineha0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNazarov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNazarovDeinehaN − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazarovDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 641 vs 46 / 7854.5%59%349 / 641 vs 46 / 78Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaNazarov 2.00/Deineha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov43511511113M. Deineha4911911992
A. Nazarov10
LSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113WSep 15 · 10:20A. Nazarov1.73111298113A. Derevianko2.00510111192LSep 15 · 08:50A. Nazarov1.5019120O. Zhyrnov2.501111143WSep 15 · 07:20A. Nazarov1.571112113I. Nitchenko2.2581030LSep 15 · 05:50A. Nazarov2.20613117112V. Savoliuk1.611111511133WSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840WSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992LSep 14 · 15:00A. Nazarov1.73117381A. Derevianko2.0061111113WSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962LSep 14 · 12:00A. Nazarov2.10121190O. Strutinskiy1.671413113
M. Deineha10
WSep 18 · 13:30I. Nitchenko2.75631191M. Deineha1.4011118113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Deineha1.6714111111113O. Strutinskiy2.1016134782LSep 14 · 16:30A. Nazarov2.00511511113M. Deineha1.7311911992WSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha1.5371111113E. Hrytsenko2.38119691WSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113LSep 14 · 13:00M. Deineha1.807111251A. Derevianko1.91111310113LSep 11 · 12:20M. Deineha1.67113101162O. Strutinskiy2.10811126113WSep 11 · 09:20M. Deineha1.4416413113I. Nitchenko2.6314111161LSep 11 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.251171122M. Deineha1.57911921WSep 11 · 06:50M. Deineha2.2011118113V. Savoliuk1.61991181
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