TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7118111171191012
Maksym Mrykh
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Maksym Mrykh below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 65.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 14–2 Maksym Mrykh Maksym Mrykh has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-2 in 16
Maksuta
Wrong
gap of 12 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1623 vs Mrykh 1687
Mrykh
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 80% vs Mrykh 60%
Maksuta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 60% vs Mrykh 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Mrykh +3
Mrykh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.44 / Mrykh 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Maksuta)+0.7pp
Setka Cup · #13166287
Maksuta1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 82 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it98% 48 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it82% 66 of 81
Mrykh2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 33 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta8wins
AwayMrykh2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta100%5 of 5
AwayMrykh40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta5Mrykh5n = 10split evenly
S2Maksuta7Mrykh3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S3Maksuta6Mrykh4n = 10Maksuta took 6 of 10
S4Maksuta6Mrykh3n = 9Maksuta took 6 of 9
S5Maksuta4Mrykh2n = 6Maksuta took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaMrykhMaksuta − MrykhBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.240.0+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaMrykhBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 300 vs 216 / 46257%46.8%171 / 300 vs 216 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.44/Mrykh 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.2%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mrykh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 16:30V. Maksuta47781111102M. Mrykh50111179123
WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta49712118113M. Mrykh50111091192
WAug 20 · 17:00V. Maksuta331111113M. Mrykh121740
LAug 6 · 14:30V. Maksuta3821181162M. Mrykh44113118113
WJul 16 · 13:40V. Maksuta43111011113M. Mrykh27512551
WJul 14 · 17:10V. Maksuta4171111123M. Mrykh381198101
WJul 9 · 11:40V. Maksuta501111511123M. Mrykh50813118102
WJul 8 · 15:40V. Maksuta4313117123M. Mrykh3811611101
WJun 22 · 22:40V. Maksuta491111610113M. Mrykh4589111252
WJun 11 · 11:10V. Maksuta49912116113M. Mrykh46111061182
V. Maksuta10
WSep 21 · 15:00V. Maksuta2.1013911113O. Strutinskiy1.671111941LSep 21 · 13:30V. Maksuta2.20991251V. Savoliuk1.61111110113WSep 21 · 12:00V. Maksuta1.9111115113E. Hrytsenko1.80581181WSep 17 · 16:40V. Merzlikin1.83115791V. Maksuta1.8391111113WSep 17 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.8051111113A. Droshchynskyi1.91114871LSep 17 · 14:40V. Maksuta1.53412971A. Zozulia2.38111011113WSep 17 · 13:10V. Maksuta1.50101111113Y. Holoborodko2.50123651WSep 17 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.91711112113I. Efimenko1.8011941182LSep 12 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk3.2511146113V. Maksuta1.339121191LSep 12 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.501011513113V. Maksuta1.50128111182
M. Mrykh10
WSep 21 · 15:30M. Mrykh2.381111113V. Savoliuk1.536780WSep 21 · 14:30A. Nazarov1.836860M. Mrykh1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:00M. Mrykh1.83131194133O. Strutinskiy1.831191111112LSep 14 · 18:00A. Nazarov1.801111113M. Mrykh1.918840LSep 14 · 17:00M. Mrykh2.20117991A. Derevianko1.6171111113LSep 14 · 16:00M. Mrykh1.831191111102O. Strutinskiy1.83131144123LSep 14 · 14:30M. Mrykh2.10661351M. Deineha1.67111111113WSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh1.6751112123E. Hrytsenko2.1011710101WSep 12 · 11:50A. Zozulia1.91711120M. Mrykh1.801113143WSep 12 · 10:50M. Mrykh1.8311117103Y. Riadynskyi1.83881191
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