TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Strutinskiy
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117118––––
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Strutinskiy to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Strutinskiy above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Strutinskiy at 64.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Strutinskiy 29–10 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 10 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Strutinskiy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-10 in 39
Strutinskiy
Correct
gap of 19 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strutinskiy 1661 vs Hrytsenko 1632
Strutinskiy
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strutinskiy 20% vs Hrytsenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strutinskiy 40% vs Hrytsenko 20%
Strutinskiy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strutinskiy -2 · Hrytsenko -4
Hrytsenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Strutinskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrutinskiy 1.50 / Hrytsenko 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Strutinskiy)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166398
Strutinskiy1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 142 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it87% 71 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it73% 102 of 139
Hrytsenko2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrutinskiy6wins
AwayHrytsenko4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStrutinskiy leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrutinskiy50%3 of 6
AwayHrytsenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strutinskiy6Hrytsenko4n = 10Strutinskiy took 6 of 10
S2Strutinskiy7Hrytsenko3n = 10Strutinskiy took 7 of 10
S3Strutinskiy4Hrytsenko6n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S4Strutinskiy4Hrytsenko5n = 9Hrytsenko took 5 of 9
S5Strutinskiy4Hrytsenko3n = 7Strutinskiy took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrutinskiyHrytsenkoS − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.540.9+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrutinskiyHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 803 vs 316 / 63851.3%49.5%412 / 803 vs 316 / 638Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrutinskiyStrutinskiy 1.50/Hrytsenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Strutinskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strutinskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy32611781E. Hrytsenko4211911113
WSep 14 · 17:30O. Strutinskiy491011611113E. Hrytsenko4412811762
LSep 8 · 06:20O. Strutinskiy4011411772E. Hrytsenko42611311113
WSep 7 · 13:30O. Strutinskiy361312113E. Hrytsenko29111080
WSep 4 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy46118115113E. Hrytsenko4591191152
LSep 3 · 16:00O. Strutinskiy47116121172E. Hrytsenko47411147113
WAug 31 · 17:00O. Strutinskiy48111169113E. Hrytsenko2933111112
WAug 28 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy44412314113E. Hrytsenko501110111262
WAug 25 · 07:50O. Strutinskiy46121211113E. Hrytsenko341410551
LAug 24 · 12:00O. Strutinskiy47111181072E. Hrytsenko47491112113
O. Strutinskiy10
LSep 21 · 13:00M. Mrykh1.83131194133O. Strutinskiy1.831191111112LSep 18 · 19:00O. Strutinskiy2.10101181192M. Deineha1.67128116113WSep 18 · 17:00A. Nazarov2.20119111072O. Strutinskiy1.61611912113LSep 18 · 15:00I. Nitchenko1.83911911113O. Strutinskiy1.8311711792LSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113LSep 18 · 13:00A. Derevianko2.00511711113O. Strutinskiy1.7311911942WSep 15 · 11:50A. Nazarov2.10411951O. Strutinskiy1.6711411113WSep 15 · 10:50O. Strutinskiy1.301111113O. Zhyrnov3.409840WSep 15 · 09:50O. Strutinskiy2.75111011113V. Savoliuk1.40612491LSep 15 · 08:20O. Strutinskiy1.8071281172A. Derevianko1.911110116113
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 21 · 12:00V. Maksuta1.9111115113E. Hrytsenko1.80581181LSep 18 · 18:30A. Derevianko1.61118111143E. Hrytsenko2.2081113522LSep 18 · 17:30M. Deineha1.441111193E. Hrytsenko2.6399170LSep 18 · 16:00A. Nazarov1.4011611113E. Hrytsenko2.75211891WSep 18 · 14:00O. Strutinskiy1.44611781E. Hrytsenko2.6311911113WSep 18 · 12:00I. Nitchenko2.00811111762E. Hrytsenko1.73118619113LSep 14 · 19:00A. Derevianko1.6711126123E. Hrytsenko2.1041011101LSep 14 · 17:30E. Hrytsenko2.6312811762O. Strutinskiy1.441011611113LSep 14 · 15:30M. Deineha1.5371111113E. Hrytsenko2.38119691LSep 14 · 13:30A. Nazarov1.36711511113E. Hrytsenko3.0011811962
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