TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115115––––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Ishchyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 50 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Pavlo Ishchyk at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 1–0 Mykhailo Skliar Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ishchyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1369 vs Skliar 1385
Skliar
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 40% vs Skliar 20%
Ishchyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 50% vs Skliar 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -1 · Skliar -4
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.73 / Skliar 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ishchyk)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166375
Ishchyk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 14 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Skliar2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 25 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchyk1wins
AwaySkliar0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderIshchyk leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchykSkliarI − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match47.042.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 167 vs 71 / 14834.7%48%58 / 167 vs 71 / 148Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykIshchyk 1.73/Skliar 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ishchyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk47911511113M. Skliar4211911652
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 21 · 17:55D. Us1.67812124133P. Ishchyk2.1011101011112WSep 21 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.00851511113M. Fomin1.73111113492LSep 21 · 15:55A. Peretiatko2.20111169113P. Ishchyk1.6166111152WSep 21 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.251111113D. Rehotun1.575670LSep 16 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.6751050A. Lifanov2.101112113WSep 16 · 17:55A. Peretiatko1.8051590P. Ishchyk1.911117113LSep 16 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.25911111172D. Us1.57119135113WSep 16 · 16:54P. Ishchyk1.6713912113V. Slabyshev2.1011111081LSep 16 · 15:55Y. Stepanchuk1.6761113113P. Ishchyk2.101181191WSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652
M. Skliar10
LSep 21 · 18:55M. Fomin1.80119127113M. Skliar1.91911101182LSep 21 · 17:25A. Peretiatko1.61611611123M. Skliar2.20118116102LSep 21 · 15:25D. Rehotun1.611111113M. Skliar2.209870LSep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.67126126113M. Skliar2.101011101172WSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132WSep 21 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.504720M. Skliar2.501111113WSep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.5011136133D. Kim1.5091111111LSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122WSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162LSep 14 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.73911511113M. Skliar2.0011911652
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