TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1199111210711118
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:02 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.7%
99 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 2–4 Mykhailo Skliar Mykyta Fomin has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:02What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Skliar
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1445 vs Skliar 1395
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Skliar 40%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 30% vs Skliar 50%
Skliar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Skliar -3
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.80 / Skliar 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fomin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166593
Fomin1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 34 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it56% 23 of 41
Skliar1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 25 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back19% 8 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeFomin2wins
AwaySkliar4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkliar leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFominn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkliar75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin2Skliar4n = 6Skliar took 4 of 6
S2Fomin3Skliar3n = 6split evenly
S3Fomin4Skliar2n = 6Fomin took 4 of 6
S4Fomin1Skliar4n = 5Skliar took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricFominSkliarF − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.540.0−4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 581 vs 71 / 14748.4%48.3%281 / 581 vs 71 / 147Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.80/Skliar 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 14 · 18:55M. Fomin291512111M. Skliar45111110133
WSep 10 · 22:05M. Fomin331111113M. Skliar166370
LSep 9 · 21:35M. Fomin3812811252M. Skliar451011211113
LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin27681121M. Skliar4211119113
LAug 31 · 22:05M. Fomin35911871M. Skliar4211911113
WAug 24 · 22:35M. Fomin516131011113M. Skliar50111112792
M. Fomin10
WSep 21 · 20:25D. Rehotun1.8011511152M. Fomin1.91711116113LSep 21 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.00851511113M. Fomin1.73111113492WSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.807160M. Fomin1.911111113WSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113LSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 01:05Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113M. Fomin2.007450LSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122LSep 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111113M. Fomin2.755880LSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141
M. Skliar10
LSep 21 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.731111113M. Skliar2.007550LSep 21 · 17:25A. Peretiatko1.61611611123M. Skliar2.20118116102LSep 21 · 15:25D. Rehotun1.611111113M. Skliar2.209870LSep 21 · 13:25D. Us1.67126126113M. Skliar2.101011101172WSep 21 · 03:35M. Skliar2.631410126153D. Us1.4412121011132WSep 21 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.504720M. Skliar2.501111113WSep 21 · 24:35M. Skliar2.5011136133D. Kim1.5091111111LSep 20 · 23:35A. Peretiatko1.67611118113M. Skliar2.1011951122WSep 20 · 22:05M. Skliar3.40111125113H. Kulishov1.3097111162WSep 17 · 19:25M. Skliar2.631111113O. Korobov1.447660
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