TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117511111116511
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykyta Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 79 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Mykyta Fomin at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 0–1 Mykyta Fomin Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:05What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rehotun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1376 vs Fomin 1463
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 40% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 30% vs Fomin 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun +1 · Fomin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 1.80 / Fomin 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fomin)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166813
Rehotun1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Fomin1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 90 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRehotun0wins
AwayFomin1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderFomin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRehotunFominR − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.046.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunFominBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 399 vs 283 / 58348.9%48.5%195 / 399 vs 283 / 583Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominRehotun 1.80/Fomin 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 21 · 20:25D. Rehotun3311511152M. Fomin46711116113
D. Rehotun10
WSep 21 · 18:25A. Peretiatko1.831112571D. Rehotun1.8391411113LSep 21 · 16:25D. Us2.63129811113D. Rehotun1.44101111782WSep 21 · 15:25D. Rehotun1.611111113M. Skliar2.209870LSep 21 · 14:25P. Ishchyk2.251111113D. Rehotun1.575670LSep 17 · 03:35S. Pitsyk1.7311118113D. Rehotun2.00871181LSep 17 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.57119128133D. Rehotun2.257111011112LSep 17 · 01:05D. Kim1.61613117113D. Rehotun2.20111161132WSep 16 · 23:05O. Melashenko1.2514590D. Rehotun3.751611113LSep 16 · 21:05S. Khandetskyi1.7311113113D. Rehotun2.00881191LSep 15 · 19:55Y. Sokoltsov1.731111113D. Rehotun2.007830
M. Fomin10
WSep 21 · 18:55M. Fomin1.80119127113M. Skliar1.91911101182LSep 21 · 16:55P. Ishchyk2.00851511113M. Fomin1.73111113492WSep 21 · 14:55D. Us1.837970M. Fomin1.831111113WSep 21 · 13:55A. Peretiatko1.807160M. Fomin1.911111113WSep 18 · 03:35H. Kulishov1.831111591M. Fomin1.8381311113LSep 18 · 02:35A. Peretiatko1.83111198113M. Fomin1.8367111192LSep 18 · 01:05Y. Stepanchuk1.731111113M. Fomin2.007450LSep 17 · 23:05D. Kim1.615101111143M. Fomin2.20111249122LSep 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov1.401111113M. Fomin2.755880LSep 14 · 20:25D. Kim1.6111118113M. Fomin2.20361141
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