TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111159111012––
Roman Boklah
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 75 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Roman Boklah at 63.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 8–38 Roman Boklah Oleksandr Kolos has won 8 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Boklah
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-38 in 46
Boklah
Correct
gap of 30 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1151 vs Boklah 1133
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Boklah 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 40% vs Boklah 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +1 · Boklah +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Boklah)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.50 / Boklah 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Boklah)+1.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166346
Kolos2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 22 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Boklah1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 56 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos2wins
AwayBoklah8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBoklah leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos33.3%2 of 6
AwayBoklah100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos6Boklah4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S2Kolos6Boklah4n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S3Kolos4Boklah6n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S4Kolos0Boklah7n = 7Boklah took 7 of 7
S5Kolos1Boklah4n = 5Boklah took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosBoklahK − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.3−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 287 vs 255 / 60952.6%41.9%151 / 287 vs 255 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahKolos 2.50/Boklah 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos4911913972R. Boklah528111111113
LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos4311511882R. Boklah47911511113
WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos54121399113R. Boklah461011111132
LAug 29 · 07:30O. Kolos33811771R. Boklah3911611113
LAug 22 · 07:30O. Kolos4311115792R. Boklah44381111113
LJul 4 · 10:00O. Kolos239590R. Boklah331111113
LMay 9 · 04:30O. Kolos34511991R. Boklah3911611113
LMay 4 · 13:00O. Kolos54111415952R. Boklah587121711113
WApr 11 · 06:00O. Kolos361411113R. Boklah2312650
O. Kolos10
WSep 21 · 13:30O. Kolos1.201111113V. Ivnytskyi4.337670WSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670LSep 19 · 09:00D. Aldayev3.401121112133O. Kolos1.301311910112WSep 19 · 08:00O. Kolos1.401112113V. Klymenko2.7561050WSep 19 · 07:00Y. Priadko1.8311911972O. Kolos1.83911611113LSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos2.6311913972R. Boklah1.448111111113LSep 12 · 11:00O. Kolos3.5011550I. Torhachov1.281311113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970
R. Boklah10
WSep 21 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.33711117112R. Boklah1.20116511133WSep 20 · 17:09R. Boklah2.10711811103S. Priadko1.6711811582WSep 20 · 16:00S. Priadko1.571171461R. Boklah2.25131112113LSep 20 · 14:30V. Ziakun1.141111113R. Boklah5.007990LSep 20 · 12:00I. Torhachov1.4411911113R. Boklah2.63711981LSep 19 · 11:30R. Boklah1.40118101182V. Klymenko2.75611123113WSep 19 · 09:30Y. Priadko2.20641151R. Boklah1.6111115113LSep 19 · 07:30D. Aldayev5.50591113113R. Boklah1.13111131162WSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos2.6311913972R. Boklah1.448111111113WSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113
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