TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Kolos
Home
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116117––––
Volodymyr Ivnytskyi
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Volodymyr Ivnytskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 79.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 10–4 Volodymyr Ivnytskyi Volodymyr Ivnytskyi has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Kolos
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1138 vs Ivnytskyi 1007
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 60% vs Ivnytskyi 40%
Kolos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 30% vs Ivnytskyi 70%
Ivnytskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos -1 · Ivnytskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Kolos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ivnytskyi form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 1.20 / Ivnytskyi 4.33
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Kolos)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166508
Kolos1.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 49 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it86% 37 of 43
Ivnytskyi4.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos7wins
AwayIvnytskyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos100%5 of 5
AwayIvnytskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos5Ivnytskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolos9Ivnytskyi1n = 10Kolos took 9 of 10
S3Kolos10Ivnytskyi0n = 10Kolos took 10 of 10
S4Kolos2Ivnytskyi3n = 5Ivnytskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosIvnytskyiK − IBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.231.0+9.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosIvnytskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 288 vs 36 / 10152.4%35.6%151 / 288 vs 36 / 101Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.835.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKolos 1.20/Ivnytskyi 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.9%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi218670
WAug 10 · 17:13O. Kolos4391211113V. Ivnytskyi321110741
LAug 10 · 14:00O. Kolos50811119112V. Ivnytskyi46114711133
WAug 3 · 16:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi237970
WJul 6 · 13:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi187560
WJun 20 · 08:30O. Kolos391414113V. Ivnytskyi29121250
LJun 13 · 09:30O. Kolos4310811141V. Ivnytskyi4312114163
WMay 26 · 13:30O. Kolos331111113V. Ivnytskyi198470
WMay 23 · 09:30O. Kolos3961111113V. Ivnytskyi27115561
LMay 9 · 06:00O. Kolos561511111092V. Ivnytskyi52179312113
O. Kolos10
LSep 21 · 12:00O. Kolos2.506119101R. Boklah1.5011511123WSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670LSep 19 · 09:00D. Aldayev3.401121112133O. Kolos1.301311910112WSep 19 · 08:00O. Kolos1.401112113V. Klymenko2.7561050WSep 19 · 07:00Y. Priadko1.8311911972O. Kolos1.83911611113LSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos2.6311913972R. Boklah1.448111111113LSep 12 · 11:00O. Kolos3.5011550I. Torhachov1.281311113LSep 12 · 09:00A. Fastov1.83591112113O. Kolos1.83111171092LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113LSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970
V. Ivnytskyi10
LSep 21 · 12:30V. Ivnytskyi1.67881141V. Klymenko2.1011115113LSep 19 · 11:00O. Kolos1.251111113V. Ivnytskyi3.758670WSep 19 · 10:00V. Klymenko1.91101110101V. Ivnytskyi1.8012912123WSep 19 · 08:30Y. Priadko1.735760V. Ivnytskyi2.001111113LSep 19 · 06:30R. Boklah1.11711117113V. Ivnytskyi6.0011971152WSep 19 · 04:30D. Aldayev1.67117581V. Ivnytskyi2.1081111113WSep 14 · 17:38V. Ivnytskyi2.0012114113V. Klymenko1.731061161WSep 14 · 16:00V. Ivnytskyi1.3671111113M. Bukata3.00117471WSep 14 · 15:00V. Klymenko1.537630V. Ivnytskyi2.381111113WSep 14 · 14:00Y. Priadko1.5081160V. Ivnytskyi2.501113113
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