TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11137111412611––
Roman Boklah
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Priadko to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 85 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Priadko at 59.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 73–70 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 70 of their 143 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Priadko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-70 in 143
Priadko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 143, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1235 vs Boklah 1097
Priadko
Wrong
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 40% vs Boklah 20%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 50% vs Boklah 30%
Priadko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko -1 · Boklah -3
Boklah
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Priadko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 1.57 / Boklah 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Priadko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13161843
Priadko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite76% won 96 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Boklah2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 51 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back12% 16 of 133
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko9wins
AwayBoklah1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPriadko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko100%7 of 7
AwayBoklah33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko7Boklah3n = 10Priadko took 7 of 10
S2Priadko6Boklah4n = 10Priadko took 6 of 10
S3Priadko5Boklah5n = 10split evenly
S4Priadko8Boklah1n = 9Priadko took 8 of 9
S5Priadko2Boklah1n = 3Priadko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home770%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoBoklahP − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.835.9+6.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 613 vs 253 / 60741.9%41.7%257 / 613 vs 253 / 607Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PriadkoPriadko 1.57/Boklah 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Priadko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Boklah won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 16 · 15:00S. Priadko4211133153R. Boklah3941111131
WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko44111183113R. Boklah4086111142
LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko49712101192R. Boklah501110126113
WSep 2 · 15:00S. Priadko511181011113R. Boklah4351112962
WAug 29 · 06:00S. Priadko3811115113R. Boklah22261131
WAug 26 · 12:00S. Priadko3911512113R. Boklah359111051
WAug 23 · 12:00S. Priadko4211811123R. Boklah325116101
WAug 22 · 04:30S. Priadko4211911113R. Boklah30711571
WAug 19 · 17:34S. Priadko3851111113R. Boklah32118581
S. Priadko10
LSep 20 · 15:00I. Torhachov1.57117411113S. Priadko2.2561111662WSep 20 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.301171091S. Priadko3.4091112113LSep 16 · 16:59V. Ziakun1.3351311113S. Priadko3.251111551LSep 16 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.611411113S. Priadko2.2012850WSep 16 · 15:00S. Priadko1.5711133153R. Boklah2.2541111131LSep 16 · 13:30S. Priadko3.256530V. Ziakun1.331111113WSep 16 · 12:00S. Priadko5.0011114123S. Miroshnychenko1.148911101LSep 12 · 10:30A. Fastov2.63601111103S. Priadko1.4411115772WSep 12 · 09:30S. Priadko2.50881112113I. Serdiuk1.50111171092WSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971
R. Boklah10
LSep 20 · 14:30V. Ziakun1.141111113R. Boklah5.007990LSep 20 · 12:00I. Torhachov1.4411911113R. Boklah2.63711981LSep 19 · 11:30R. Boklah1.40118101182V. Klymenko2.75611123113WSep 19 · 09:30Y. Priadko2.20641151R. Boklah1.6111115113LSep 19 · 07:30D. Aldayev5.50591113113R. Boklah1.13111131162WSep 19 · 06:30R. Boklah1.11711117113V. Ivnytskyi6.0011971152WSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos2.6311913972R. Boklah1.448111111113LSep 16 · 16:00R. Boklah4.001111251S. Miroshnychenko1.2213511113LSep 16 · 15:00S. Priadko1.5711133153R. Boklah2.2541111131LSep 16 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.50101111113R. Boklah2.50127461
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