TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136848
Played Sep 16Finished
Serhii Priadko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511311––––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Priadko above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 47 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 75.3%
47 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Priadko 64–126 Viktor Ziakun Serhii Priadko has won 64 of their 190 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-126 in 190
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 62 in 190, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Priadko 1239 vs Ziakun 1342
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Priadko 80% vs Ziakun 20%
Priadko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Priadko 50% vs Ziakun 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Priadko +1 · Ziakun +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Ziakun) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPriadko 3.25 / Ziakun 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Ziakun)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136848
Priadko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 47 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back15% 15 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Ziakun1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 172 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it88% 138 of 157
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePriadko2wins
AwayZiakun8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePriadko50%2 of 4
AwayZiakun100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Priadko4Ziakun6n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Priadko2Ziakun8n = 10Ziakun took 8 of 10
S3Priadko4Ziakun6n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S4Priadko2Ziakun4n = 6Ziakun took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPriadkoZiakunP − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.837.5−4.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPriadkoZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 622 vs 377 / 63041.6%59.8%259 / 622 vs 377 / 630Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunPriadko 3.25/Ziakun 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko381248141V. Ziakun48101111163
LSep 6 · 15:00S. Priadko4157111262V. Ziakun50111191093
LSep 2 · 17:10S. Priadko357711101V. Ziakun3911115123
LSep 2 · 13:30S. Priadko371112951V. Ziakun4151411113
LAug 26 · 13:30S. Priadko259880V. Ziakun331111113
LAug 23 · 17:09S. Priadko29911811V. Ziakun381181183
WAug 23 · 16:00S. Priadko44121011113V. Ziakun371012691
LAug 19 · 15:00S. Priadko2567120V. Ziakun361111143
WAug 12 · 16:58S. Priadko331111113V. Ziakun208660
LAug 12 · 12:30S. Priadko218760V. Ziakun331111113
S. Priadko10
WSep 16 · 12:00S. Priadko5.0011114123S. Miroshnychenko1.148911101LSep 12 · 10:30A. Fastov2.63601111103S. Priadko1.4411115772WSep 12 · 09:30S. Priadko2.50881112113I. Serdiuk1.50111171092WSep 12 · 08:30S. Priadko2.0011911113I. Torhachov1.73611971WSep 12 · 07:00S. Priadko1.141111113O. Kolos5.009970WSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:30I. Torhachov1.671211113S. Priadko2.1010780LSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163LSep 9 · 12:00S. Priadko5.00117951S. Miroshnychenko1.1491111113
V. Ziakun10
WSep 16 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.14111711113R. Boklah5.00419381LSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110LSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113LSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881LSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101LSep 15 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.251111113V. Ziakun3.759690WSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.40111157113S. Miroshnychenko1.3097111162WSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163
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