TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136807
Played Sep 16Finished
Viktor Ziakun
Home
1.14
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141719113118––
Roman Boklah
Away
5.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 86.8% is still 86.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Ziakun to win
86.8%
86.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Ziakun above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 84 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Ziakun at 86.8%
84 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Ziakun 111–18 Roman Boklah Roman Boklah has won 18 of their 129 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
111-18 in 129
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 93 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1334 vs Boklah 1183
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 151 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 0% vs Boklah 40%
Boklah
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Boklah 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -5 · Boklah -2
Ziakun
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boklah form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.14 / Boklah 5.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Ziakun)+5.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136807
Ziakun1.14
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite81% won 172 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it88% 138 of 157
Boklah5.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 51 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back12% 16 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun8wins
AwayBoklah2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%7 of 7
AwayBoklah66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun7Boklah3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun9Boklah1n = 10Ziakun took 9 of 10
S3Ziakun7Boklah3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun4Boklah2n = 6Ziakun took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunBoklahZ − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.727.8+10.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 629 vs 258 / 61459.8%42%376 / 629 vs 258 / 614Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.14/Boklah 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.8%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 16:59V. Ziakun4211911113R. Boklah20411231
WSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun351311113R. Boklah2711880
WSep 6 · 17:29V. Ziakun331111113R. Boklah228680
WSep 6 · 12:00V. Ziakun331111113R. Boklah184680
LSep 2 · 12:30V. Ziakun4891111982R. Boklah42115411113
WAug 26 · 16:59V. Ziakun4291111113R. Boklah30118561
WAug 26 · 14:30V. Ziakun4211119113R. Boklah28291161
WAug 23 · 15:00V. Ziakun4311119123R. Boklah357711101
WAug 19 · 16:00V. Ziakun331111113R. Boklah168530
LAug 12 · 16:00V. Ziakun361111771R. Boklah4013511113
V. Ziakun10
WSep 16 · 13:30S. Priadko3.256530V. Ziakun1.331111113LSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110LSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113LSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881LSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101LSep 15 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.251111113V. Ziakun3.759690WSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.40111157113S. Miroshnychenko1.3097111162WSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163
R. Boklah10
LSep 12 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.251111113R. Boklah3.759950LSep 12 · 10:00R. Boklah2.254870I. Torhachov1.571111113WSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos2.6311511882R. Boklah1.44911511113WSep 12 · 06:00A. Fastov2.107690R. Boklah1.671111113LSep 12 · 05:00S. Priadko1.61111183113R. Boklah2.2086111142LSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Boklah4.331112113S. Miroshnychenko1.2051060WSep 9 · 15:00S. Priadko1.53712101192R. Boklah2.381110126113LSep 9 · 14:00I. Torhachov1.5311118113R. Boklah2.38731191LSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880
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